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Utilities sector

NTW

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Nhơn Trạch
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
20.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.857
Current
20.000
Gap
-5.7%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default2.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.000
Payout ratio105.0%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.000
Base Growth
2.00%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
18.857
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NTW

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

50
Fair
Accrual Quality
71
Cash Conversion
100
Margin Stability
29
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.80
Low Risk
DSRI
0.577
GMI
0.920
AQI
1.814
SGI
1.166
DEPI
0.966
SGAI
0.916
TATA
-0.072
LVGI
1.118

The Beneish M-Score of -2.8013 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 50.0/100, particularly low revenue quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 50.0/100 indicates potential issues with revenue recognition, particularly with a score of 0.0/100 for eq_revenue.
  • The SGI of 1.1660 suggests that sales growth is outpacing industry norms, which could indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.8013 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates effective cash management despite lower earnings quality.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Đồng Nai, holds a significant 52.4% stake, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider conducting further due diligence on cash flow sustainability before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
5.51
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.20
Positive
Composite
53
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+22.6%
Volatility
110.0%
Max Drawdown
-47.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
ROE0.0%
ROA0.0%
Gross Margin16.5%
Net Margin9.5%
D/E0.00
Current Ratio0.00
Rev Growth16.6%
Profit Growth75.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.0M
Charter Capital
100.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NTW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Đồng Nai
Inst
52.4%
5.2 trieu
Hồ Văn Hoàng
Indiv
15.0%
1.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Tổng Công ty Tín Nghĩa
Inst
3.8%
382.465
Công đoàn Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Nhơn Trạch
Inst
2.0%
100.000
Đặng Nguyễn Thanh Liêm
Indiv
1.7%
166.600
Công ty TNHH Nguyễn Hoàng
Inst
1.5%
73.500
Đặng Thị Tâm
Indiv
0.7%
73.200
nguyen-anh-tan
Indiv
0.6%
60.000
nguyen-viet-hung
Indiv
0.6%
60.000
nguyen-anh-tuan
Indiv
0.6%
60.000
Ngô Dương Đại
Indiv
0.3%
30.000
Board & Management
Đặng Nguyễn Thanh Liêm1.7%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Viết Hưng0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Dương Đại0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Trần Văn Thùy
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Bá Hải
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Binh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Lương Thắng
Phó Giám đốc
Vũ Văn Luyến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Lịch
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Mai Hạnh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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