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Cyclicals sector

HAX

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Ô tô Hàng Xanh
Ô tô và phụ tùngCT
10.550
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.903
Current
10.550
Gap
-44.0%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTCyclical
Defaulted to cyclical (no specific sector mapping found)
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA192.06B
Fair EV/EBITDA7.8x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
192.06B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
7.8x
-
Net Debt
857.22B
=
Equity Value
5.903
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HAX

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

15
Poor
Accrual Quality
49
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.11
Moderate
DSRI
1.232
GMI
1.217
AQI
0.199
SGI
0.844
DEPI
0.692
SGAI
1.362
TATA
0.141
LVGI
1.175

HAX exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -2.1085, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The company's earnings quality score of 14.7/100 and alarming metrics in cash conversion and receivables raise concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1085 indicates potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 14.7/100 suggests severe issues with cash conversion and receivables, both at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.2315 indicates that inventory levels are relatively consistent with sales, which could suggest stable operations.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the largest shareholder, Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam, holding 32.6%. This concentration could lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider avoiding HAX until there is clearer evidence of improved earnings quality and transparency. Monitoring changes in the ownership structure and financial disclosures will be critical.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.87
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-1.03
Negative
Composite
11
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-28.8%
Volatility
32.9%
Max Drawdown
-44.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
214.14P/E
P/B1.09
P/S0.26
ROE0.5%
ROA0.2%
EPS52.30
BVPS10234.67
Gross Margin7.6%
Net Margin0.1%
D/E0.81
Current Ratio1.79
Rev Growth-15.6%
Profit Growth-95.5%
EV/EBITDA31.50
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
107.4M
Charter Capital
1074.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Ô tô và phụ tùng
Industry (ICB L3)
Ô tô và phụ tùng
Sub-industry
Sản xuất ô tô
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HAX — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam
Inst
32.6%
3.6 trieu
Đỗ Tiến Dũng
Indiv
17.4%
18.7 trieu
Vũ Thị Hạnh
Indiv
16.6%
17.8 trieu
Hoàng Đức Thành
Indiv
5.1%
1.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Quản lý quỹ SSI
Inst
5.0%
1.2 trieu
Công Ty TNHH Nhựa Phước Thành
Inst
4.8%
684.798
Vũ Ngọc Diệp Linh
Indiv
4.7%
3.4 trieu
afc vietnam fund
Inst
4.6%
5.0 trieu
Đoàn Hùng Dũng
Indiv
4.5%
501.386
PYN Elite Fund
Inst
3.9%
4.2 trieu
Phạm Tuấn Mai
Indiv
2.9%
324.643
Hoàng Đức Hùng
Indiv
1.0%
138.633
Trần Quốc Hải
Indiv
0.7%
738.680
nguyen-tien-dung
Indiv
0.5%
61.008
Trần Văn Mỹ
Indiv
0.5%
529.512
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Bích
Indiv
0.5%
525.018
Nguyễn Hồng Anh
Indiv
0.5%
53.262
Nguyễn Thị Ngân Hà
Indiv
0.3%
288.420
Lê Quang Định
Indiv
0.2%
22.133
Vũ Quang Huy
Indiv
0.1%
14.770
Võ Thiếu Lâm
Indiv
0.1%
11.474
Board & Management
Đỗ Tiến Dũng17.4%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Thị Hạnh16.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Trần Quốc Hải0.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Văn Mỹ0.5%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Bích0.5%
Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Ngọc Thùy Trang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hằng
Giám đốc Tài chính/Kế toán trưởng
Trần Tiểu Mai
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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