TDW
UtilitiesValuation Breakdown
The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TDW
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
TDW's Beneish M-Score of -3.2563 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in receivables and accruals, which could signal potential cash flow issues.
- Earnings Quality Score of 59.8/100, with a particularly low receivables score of 21.2/100, indicating potential issues with revenue collection.
- The accrual component of 48.4/100 suggests that a significant portion of earnings may not be realized in cash, raising concerns about the sustainability of reported profits.
- A cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates that the company is effectively converting its earnings into cash, which is a positive sign for liquidity.
- The SGI of 1.0187 suggests that the company's sales growth is stable, which can be a positive indicator in the context of market demand.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with two institutions holding 95.2% of shares, which may lead to governance risks and reduced minority shareholder influence.
Investors should closely monitor TDW's cash flow and receivables management while considering the strong institutional backing as a stabilizing factor. A cautious approach is advised, focusing on improvements in earnings quality metrics.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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