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Utilities sector

NBW

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Nhà Bè
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
34.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
32.747
Current
34.000
Gap
-3.7%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend5.17%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.550
Payout ratio56.9%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.550
Base Growth
5.17%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
32.747
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NBW

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

79
Good
Accrual Quality
73
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
92
Margin Stability
87
Revenue Quality
41

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.83
Low Risk
DSRI
1.037
GMI
0.974
AQI
0.847
SGI
1.010
DEPI
1.079
SGAI
1.015
TATA
-0.068
LVGI
1.024

The Beneish M-Score of -2.8298 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal concerning aspects, particularly the low revenue quality score of 40.9, which raises questions about the sustainability of reported revenues.

Red Flags
  • Revenue quality score of 40.9 suggests potential issues with revenue recognition practices.
  • High concentration of ownership with Tổng Công ty Cấp nước Sài Gòn holding 53.4%, which may lead to governance risks.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 78.6/100 indicates generally good earnings quality, with strong cash conversion at 100.0/100.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership among a few institutional investors may lead to potential governance issues, as decisions may favor the interests of major shareholders over minority ones.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider diversifying their portfolio to mitigate risks associated with ownership concentration.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
4.58
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.17
Positive
Composite
65
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+12.0%
Volatility
70.2%
Max Drawdown
-28.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.97P/E
P/B2.09
P/S0.42
ROE17.4%
ROA9.7%
EPS2922.91
BVPS16778.63
Gross Margin32.6%
Net Margin3.5%
D/E0.81
Current Ratio0.74
Rev Growth1.0%
Profit Growth5.1%
EV/EBITDA4.22
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.9M
Charter Capital
109.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NBW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cấp nước Sài Gòn
Inst
53.4%
5.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Nước Sạch Ree
Inst
20.0%
2.2 trieu
Ngân hàng TNHH MTV Số Vikki
Inst
10.0%
1.1 trieu
america limited liability company
Inst
5.0%
547.300
Công ty TNHH Quản lý Quỹ đầu tư Chứng khoán Đông Á
Inst
0.6%
69.748
Bùi Nhật Lam
Indiv
0.4%
49.000
Hứa Trọng Nghi
Indiv
0.2%
20.900
Board & Management
Lý Thành Tài
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Dương Văn Hoà
Phó Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Phạm Chí Thiện
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Giám đốc
Vũ Thị Thùy Nga
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Tường Triêm
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Lục Chánh Trường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Thanh Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hoàng Lam
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Oanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Võ Thị Cẩm Tú
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Phương Linh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Lê Trọng Hiếu
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Công Thành
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Thanh Giang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lý Bửu Nghĩa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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