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Construction sector

LM8

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Lilama 18
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
13.550
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
44.259
Current
13.550
Gap
+226.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
24.42%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.83%
x
D/(D+E)
75.58%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.87%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
19.992
50%DCF Value
68.526
Blended Intrinsic
44.259
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LM8

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

27
Poor
Accrual Quality
48
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
1
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.67
Elevated
DSRI
1.483
GMI
0.708
AQI
0.711
SGI
0.984
DEPI
0.978
SGAI
1.050
TATA
0.145
LVGI
1.046

The Beneish M-Score of -1.671 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 27.3/100 and particularly low cash conversion metrics suggest potential issues with the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 27.3/100 indicates significant concerns about the quality of earnings.
  • Cash conversion metric of 0.0/100 suggests that the company is not effectively converting its earnings into cash, raising liquidity concerns.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.671 is above the manipulation threshold, indicating a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong gross margin score of 100.0/100 suggests effective cost management in production.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top shareholder holding 36.0% of shares. This concentration may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and consider the implications of concentrated ownership. A thorough review of financial statements and cash flow projections is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.54
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.40
Negative
Composite
47
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-0.5%
Volatility
46.0%
Max Drawdown
-22.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.16P/E
P/B0.38
P/S0.08
ROE5.3%
ROA1.3%
EPS1724.18
BVPS32593.48
Gross Margin9.2%
Net Margin1.1%
D/E3.51
Current Ratio1.24
Rev Growth-1.6%
Profit Growth-1.2%
EV/EBITDA6.42
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.4M
Charter Capital
93.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LM8 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty lắp máy Việt Nam
Inst
36.0%
3.4 trieu
Nguyễn Dương Hồng Phát
Indiv
15.0%
1.4 trieu
Trần Mạnh Hùng
Indiv
9.7%
914.293
Nguyễn Hùng Bính
Indiv
4.7%
443.200
Võ Thị Thân
Indiv
4.3%
403.100
Nguyễn Ngọc Đông
Indiv
3.9%
369.649
Đinh Đức Trọng
Indiv
2.7%
250.000
Ngô Quang Định
Indiv
1.9%
175.000
Nguyễn Trọng Tuấn
Indiv
1.3%
120.000
Nguyễn Văn Chử
Indiv
0.9%
85.849
Nguyễn Văn Kiên
Indiv
0.6%
49.891
Phạm Mạnh Đức
Indiv
0.5%
51.060
Nguyễn Thị Anh Thư
Indiv
0.5%
47.061
Trần Quốc Toản
Indiv
0.4%
37.762
Lê Quốc Ân
Indiv
0.4%
33.075
Trần Sỹ Quỳnh
Indiv
0.3%
24.917
Trần Văn Tiến
Indiv
0.3%
24.211
Cao Nguyên Soái
Indiv
0.2%
23.059
Hồ Thị Thu Yến
Indiv
0.2%
16.000
Phạm Tuấn Anh
Indiv
0.2%
13.764
nguyen-khac-thanh
Indiv
0.1%
11.080
Board & Management
Ngô Quang Định1.9%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Mạnh Đức0.5%
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Quốc Ân0.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Sỹ Quỳnh0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Văn Tiến0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Cao Nguyên Soái0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Khắc Thành0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hồ Văn Toàn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Phương Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phan Văn Nam
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Hồng Tuấn
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đỗ Minh Trí
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Bình
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tuấn Hùng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Minh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tuấn Hùng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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