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Real Estate sector

LMH

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Quốc Tế Holding
Bất động sảnCT
1.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
614
Current
1.400
Gap
-56.2%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
13.60%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
60%DCF Value
614
Blended Intrinsic
614
Value Decomposition
42%
58%
Explicit period (42%)Terminal value (58%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LMH

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

22
Poor
Accrual Quality
17
Cash Conversion
40
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2019

-3.24
Low Risk
DSRI
1.202
GMI
1.871
AQI
1.258
SGI
0.513
DEPI
0.823
SGAI
3.084
TATA
-0.155
LVGI
0.901

The Beneish M-Score of -3.2373 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, but the earnings quality score of 21.3/100 suggests significant concerns regarding the company's financial health. Key metrics such as receivables and revenue quality are alarmingly low, raising red flags about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 21.3/100 indicates poor earnings quality, particularly with receivables and revenue quality at 0.0/100.
  • SGAI of 3.0835 suggests excessive growth in selling, general, and administrative expenses compared to revenue growth, which may indicate inefficiency.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.2373 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • DSRI of 1.2018 suggests that inventory levels are relatively stable compared to sales, which can be a positive sign in a manufacturing context.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a significant controlling stake, which may reduce the risk of management entrenchment but could lead to governance challenges.

Recommendation

Investors should approach LMH with caution due to the high risk of earnings quality issues; consider monitoring for improvements in cash conversion and revenue recognition before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-4.84
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.19
Negative
Composite
8
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-70.0%
Volatility
107.2%
Max Drawdown
-75.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-5.63P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.00
ROE12.6%
ROA-5.7%
EPS-231.08
BVPS0.00
D/E-3.06
Current Ratio0.67
Rev Growth-100.0%
Profit Growth91.6%
EV/EBITDA-79.77
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
25.6M
Charter Capital
256.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LMH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Hà Mạnh Cường
Indiv
6.6%
1.7 trieu
Trần Thanh Tùng
Indiv
6.5%
1.7 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Vui Mừng
Indiv
5.0%
1.3 trieu
Nguyễn Hoàng Duy
Indiv
4.8%
1.1 trieu
Đào Minh Hương
Indiv
4.6%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Diễm
Indiv
3.1%
787.854
Phạm Quốc Bình
Indiv
3.0%
777.400
Trần Thế Bình
Indiv
2.8%
720.200
Nguyễn Thị Bích Ngọc
Indiv
2.7%
683.758
Phạm Thủy Tiên
Indiv
2.1%
535.800
Nguyễn Xuân Thủy
Indiv
2.1%
531.900
nguyen-lan-huong
Indiv
2.0%
505.800
Công ty Cổ phần SMD Holdings
Inst
1.7%
400.000
Trương Hoàng Vũ
Indiv
0.7%
172.401
Bùi Thị Luyến
Indiv
0.4%
90.420
Đoàn Thế Linh
Indiv
0.1%
24.782
Board & Management
Nguyễn Xuân Thùy2.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Lan Hương2.0%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thị Ngân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Đức Doanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Thu Trang
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Thị Hằng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Kim Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Võ Văn Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Phương
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Quang Hưng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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