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Real Estate sector

MBT

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Bất động sản cho thuê Minh Bảo Tín
Bất động sảnCT
9.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.482
Current
9.500
Gap
-21.2%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
95.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.77%
x
D/(D+E)
5.00%
=
WACC
13.21%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
16.121
60%DCF Value
1.723
Blended Intrinsic
7.482
Value Decomposition
41%
59%
Explicit period (41%)Terminal value (59%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MBT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

37
Weak
Accrual Quality
66
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.39
Moderate
DSRI
0.042
GMI
0.929
AQI
1.654
SGI
1.078
DEPI
1.033
SGAI
1.093
TATA
0.084
LVGI
0.098

The Beneish M-Score of -2.39 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the Earnings Quality Score of 36.6/100, particularly the 0.0/100 in cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 36.6/100 indicates significant issues with cash conversion and revenue recognition.
  • Cash conversion score of 0.0/100 suggests potential liquidity problems or aggressive accounting practices.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.39 suggests a lower likelihood of manipulation compared to the threshold of -1.78.
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a significant controlling stake, which may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and earnings sustainability before considering an investment in MBT, while also assessing the impact of fragmented ownership on corporate governance.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
9.38
Safe Zone

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
77.86P/E
P/B0.75
P/S9.98
ROE1.0%
ROA0.7%
EPS116.10
BVPS12091.06
Gross Margin52.3%
Net Margin12.8%
D/E0.05
Current Ratio8.54
Rev Growth7.8%
Profit Growth-70.3%
EV/EBITDA18.90
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.8M
Charter Capital
38.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MBT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đặng Trọng Khang
Indiv
6.3%
238.100
Trịnh Văn Bình
Indiv
4.2%
160.000
Trịnh Thị Hồng Diễm
Indiv
4.0%
150.000
nguyen-thi-hanh
Indiv
4.0%
150.000
Nguyễn Thanh Tường Vỹ
Indiv
3.4%
130.000
Vũ Hoàng Nguyên
Indiv
3.0%
115.000
Lê Hoà Lộc
Indiv
2.6%
100.000
Phan Phạm Phú Nam Phương
Indiv
1.6%
60.000
Tôn Hồng Hoa
Indiv
1.3%
50.000
Vũ Đình Phương
Indiv
1.3%
50.000
Phan Thị Kiều Oanh
Indiv
1.2%
46.400
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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