VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

BHK

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Bia Hà Nội - Kim Bài
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Bia và đồ uốngCT
14.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
60.760
Current
14.000
Gap
+334.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
49.29%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.35%
x
D/(D+E)
50.71%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.03%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF14.24B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
14.24B
Growth Rate
3.03%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
60.760
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BHK

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

59
Fair
Accrual Quality
39
Cash Conversion
100
Margin Stability
83
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-3.95
Low Risk
DSRI
0.363
GMI
0.847
AQI
0.704
SGI
0.719
DEPI
1.349
SGAI
1.316
TATA
-0.100
LVGI
0.840

BHK exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.946, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue recognition, which could pose risks to financial integrity.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 64.7/100, with a concerning 0.0/100 in eq_revenue indicating potential issues in revenue recognition.
  • DSRI at 0.3633, suggesting a significant decrease in receivables relative to sales, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion metric of 100.0/100, indicating effective cash management and operational efficiency.
  • Low GMI of 0.8466 suggests that gross margins are stable, which is a positive indicator of cost management.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước giải khát Hà Nội, holds a significant 28.1% stake, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence over corporate governance.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of ownership concentration before making investment decisions. A deeper analysis of cash flow and operational metrics is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.45
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-1.41
Negative
Composite
65
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
59.6%
Max Drawdown
-51.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.51P/E
P/B1.11
P/S0.40
ROE9.7%
ROA5.1%
EPS1216.80
BVPS12665.72
Gross Margin28.2%
Net Margin3.5%
D/E0.73
Current Ratio0.67
Rev Growth-9.3%
Profit Growth5.7%
EV/EBITDA3.84
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.0M
Charter Capital
39.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Bia và đồ uống
Sub-industry
Sản xuất bia
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BHK — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước giải khát Hà Nội
Inst
28.1%
1.1 trieu
Phạm Văn Khánh
Indiv
2.3%
90.950
Lê Văn Chính
Indiv
2.2%
88.580
Vũ Văn Tiền
Indiv
2.1%
85.105
Tạ Thị Vịnh
Indiv
2.1%
83.565
Hoàng Thị Bích
Indiv
2.0%
78.200
Lê Tiến Dũng
Indiv
1.8%
71.940
Nguyễn Thị Mai Hạnh
Indiv
1.1%
45.000
Phạm Mai Khanh
Indiv
1.0%
40.470
Phạm Trung Kiên
Indiv
1.0%
40.000
Trương Văn Hải
Indiv
0.9%
37.620
Nguyễn Xuân Thành
Indiv
0.3%
10.000
Đỗ Văn Linh
Indiv
0.1%
5.700
Bùi Thị Hạnh
Indiv
0.1%
5.350
Board & Management
Trương Văn Hải0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thơm0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thị Thương Huyền
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Tuyết Mai
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thơm
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Vũ Thị Tâm
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Trung Kiên
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Thị Thu Hoài
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Ngọc Văn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Lệ Thủy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →