XPH
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — XPH
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
XPH exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly a high SGI of 2.5933 and a low earnings quality score of 42.6, indicating potential growth manipulation and poor earnings quality. However, the Beneish M-Score of -1.0651 suggests that the likelihood of earnings manipulation is low, which is a positive signal in the context of the Vietnamese market.
- SGI of 2.5933 indicates aggressive growth that may not be sustainable.
- Earnings Quality Score of 42.6/100 reflects significant issues with cash conversion and revenue recognition.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.0651 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
With 80% ownership by Tập đoàn Hóa chất Việt Nam, there is a high concentration of control, which can lead to potential governance issues and reduced minority shareholder rights.
Investors should closely monitor XPH's growth metrics and earnings quality, considering a cautious approach given the elevated risk indicators. It may be prudent to wait for improved earnings quality and transparency before making significant investments.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for XPH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate