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Real Estate sector

PIV

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần PIV
Bất động sảnCT
6.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
34.882
Current
6.700
Gap
+420.6%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
33.41%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
66.59%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
640
60%DCF Value
57.710
Blended Intrinsic
34.882
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PIV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

31
Weak
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2017

1.92
High Risk
DSRI
3.211
GMI
3.857
AQI
0.209
SGI
1.178
DEPI
0.795
SGAI
1.448
TATA
0.295
LVGI
1.803

The Beneish M-Score of 1.9205 significantly exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a high likelihood of earnings manipulation. Coupled with a poor earnings quality score of 12.0/100, this stock presents substantial red flags for potential investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 1.9205 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 12.0/100 suggests severe issues with accruals and cash conversion.
Positive Signals
  • SGI of 1.1781 indicates moderate sales growth, which could be a positive sign if sustainable.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a significant controlling stake, which may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Given the high risk of earnings manipulation and poor earnings quality, it is advisable to avoid investment in PIV until clearer financial transparency and improved metrics are demonstrated.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-3.45
Distress Zone
Sharpe
1.09
Excellent
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+63.4%
Volatility
78.7%
Max Drawdown
-48.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
21.89P/E
P/B17.55
P/S47.83
ROE133.8%
ROA9.8%
EPS410.37
BVPS511.78
Gross Margin2.6%
Net Margin218.5%
D/E1.99
Current Ratio1.47
Rev Growth105.9%
Profit Growth801.6%
EV/EBITDA-301.34
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
17.3M
Charter Capital
173.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Tư Vấn, Định giá, Môi giới Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PIV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đỗ Thị Thanh Nga
Indiv
6.7%
80.000
Lê Quốc Hưng
Indiv
5.0%
60.000
Nguyễn Công Cường
Indiv
4.8%
58.000
america limited liability company
Inst
4.8%
826.000
Cao Văn Vĩ
Indiv
4.0%
48.100
Lê Xuân Minh
Indiv
4.0%
625.000
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hiền
Indiv
3.9%
681.500
Phạm Văn Thuận
Indiv
3.6%
562.482
Vũ Văn Cương
Indiv
3.3%
525.000
Lê Tuấn Anh
Indiv
3.3%
500.000
Trần Văn Lượng
Indiv
3.2%
508.000
Chu Đức Lam
Indiv
2.3%
27.800
Nguyễn Trọng Đức
Indiv
1.2%
210.000
Nguyễn Thu Huyền
Indiv
1.2%
210.000
Phạm Ngọc Thành
Indiv
0.8%
10.000
Hà Sơn Trường
Indiv
0.8%
136.800
Nguyễn Vũ Trọng Minh
Indiv
0.4%
5.000
Đỗ Văn Dị
Indiv
0.4%
5.000
Nguyễn Thiện Huy
Indiv
0.4%
5.000
Dương Ngọc Cảnh
Indiv
0.2%
2.000
Board & Management
Nhữ Thị Kim Thu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Thanh Nga
Kế toán trưởng
Đỗ Quang
Tổng Giám đốc
Trương Thị Nhung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Thị Nụ
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Tiến Thành
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Duy Bằng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Tuấn Anh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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