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Construction sector

PSN

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Kỹ thuật PTSC Thanh Hóa
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
9.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.964
Current
9.500
Gap
+57.5%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
48.40%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.97%
x
D/(D+E)
51.60%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.13%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
9.805
50%DCF Value
20.123
Blended Intrinsic
14.964
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PSN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

89
Good
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
66
Revenue Quality
90

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.98
Moderate
DSRI
1.773
GMI
1.246
AQI
0.578
SGI
1.146
DEPI
1.046
SGAI
0.765
TATA
-0.042
LVGI
1.457

The Beneish M-Score of -1.9776 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 89.3 suggests strong cash conversion and receivables management, which mitigates some concerns.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9776 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • DSRI of 1.7730 suggests a significant increase in receivables relative to sales, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 89.3/100 reflects strong overall earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion at 100.0/100.
  • SGAI of 0.7650 indicates effective cost management in selling, general, and administrative expenses.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with two state-owned enterprises holding a combined 98.5% stake, which may lead to governance risks and lack of minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor financial disclosures for signs of earnings manipulation and consider diversifying their portfolio to mitigate risks associated with concentrated ownership.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.31
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.13
Negative
Composite
69
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-1.9%
Volatility
75.8%
Max Drawdown
-33.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.01P/E
P/B0.69
P/S0.28
ROE6.3%
ROA2.7%
EPS862.93
BVPS13768.27
Gross Margin7.8%
Net Margin2.5%
D/E1.84
Current Ratio1.13
Rev Growth14.6%
Profit Growth-7.1%
EV/EBITDA3.75
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
40.0M
Charter Capital
400.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PSN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Kỹ thuật Dầu khí Việt Nam
Inst
54.7%
21.9 trieu
Tập Đoàn Công Nghiệp – Năng Lượng Quốc Gia Việt Nam
Inst
43.8%
17.5 trieu
Board & Management
Lê Văn Ngà
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Hùng Phương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Khắc Dũng
Phó Giám đốc
Vũ Thanh Khiêm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Mạnh
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Hữu Hoan
Phó Giám đốc
Hoàng Sĩ Hiếu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Duyên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Duy Nguyên
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Tô Ngọc Thụ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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