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Consumer sector

PPP

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Dược phẩm Phong Phú
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
19.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
30.799
Current
19.300
Gap
+59.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
80.98%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.44%
x
D/(D+E)
19.02%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.16%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF15.73B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
15.73B
Growth Rate
2.16%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
30.799
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PPP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

77
Good
Accrual Quality
96
Cash Conversion
72
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.22
Moderate
DSRI
0.727
GMI
0.956
AQI
2.317
SGI
1.016
DEPI
0.974
SGAI
1.059
TATA
0.010
LVGI
1.131

The Beneish M-Score of -2.217 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it falls below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal a significant concern with an EQ revenue score of 0.0/100, suggesting potential issues with revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • EQ revenue score of 0.0/100 indicates no quality revenue recognition, raising concerns about revenue sustainability.
  • High ownership concentration with Thái Nhã Ngôn holding 46.0% could lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.
Positive Signals
  • Strong earnings quality score of 77.1/100, particularly high accruals (96.0/100) and margin (100.0/100), indicating effective cost management.
  • Low DSRI of 0.7274 suggests that inventory is well managed relative to sales, reducing the risk of overproduction.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership, particularly by individual shareholders, may lead to governance challenges and limit minority shareholder influence, posing a risk to equitable treatment.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider engaging with management regarding transparency. A cautious approach is advised given the ownership structure and potential governance issues.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
4.79
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.25
Positive
Composite
78
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+30.9%
Volatility
66.5%
Max Drawdown
-22.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.15P/E
P/B1.22
P/S1.21
ROE13.5%
ROA10.8%
EPS2108.49
BVPS15764.74
Gross Margin35.3%
Net Margin13.3%
D/E0.27
Current Ratio2.55
Rev Growth2.2%
Profit Growth6.9%
EV/EBITDA6.55
Div Yield7.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.8M
Charter Capital
88.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PPP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Thái Nhã Ngôn
Indiv
46.0%
4.0 trieu
Lê Thanh Trúc
Indiv
13.6%
1.2 trieu
america limited liability company
Inst
5.1%
449.300
Hồ Vinh Hiển
Indiv
4.1%
363.090
Bùi Thanh Tùng
Indiv
3.5%
280.000
nguyen-dinh-thang
Indiv
2.6%
114.800
Thái Tú Minh Phương
Indiv
2.5%
220.000
Tô Thái Hân
Indiv
1.7%
152.570
Phạm Ngọc Dân
Indiv
1.1%
100.000
Võ Văn Khôi
Indiv
1.1%
50.000
Phạm Thị Minh Tâm
Indiv
0.8%
66.100
Nguyễn Thị Mai Nguyệt
Indiv
0.6%
55.000
Trần Lệ Thu
Indiv
0.5%
24.100
Phó Nghĩa Văn
Indiv
0.3%
28.500
Thái Thúc Dung
Indiv
0.3%
24.200
Lê Văn Khối
Indiv
0.2%
10.000
Board & Management
Thái Nhã Ngôn46.0%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thanh Trúc13.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Minh Tâm0.8%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Mai Nguyệt0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phó Nghĩa Văn0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Hùng
Giám đốc Tài chính
Nguyễn Văn Chắc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hoàng Ngọc Châu
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Bích Ngọc
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Anh Chi
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

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