OIL
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — OIL
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
OIL exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.3658, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal concerning areas, particularly in revenue recognition and profit margins, which could pose risks to financial stability.
- Earnings Quality Score of 87.8/100 is strong, but eq_margin at 55.3/100 and eq_revenue at 33.3/100 suggest potential issues with profitability and revenue recognition.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.3658 indicates low likelihood of earnings manipulation, suggesting a more reliable financial reporting.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tập Đoàn Công Nghiệp – Năng Lượng Quốc Gia Việt Nam holding 80.5% and the state owning 35.1%. This could lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, impacting minority shareholders.
Investors should closely monitor the company's revenue recognition practices and profit margins. Given the elevated risk level, consider a cautious approach, possibly waiting for improved earnings quality metrics before making significant investments.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for OIL — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate