VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Cyclicals sector

PTB

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Phú Tài
Tài nguyên Cơ bản/Lâm nghiệp và GiấyCT
48.650
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
44.261
Current
48.650
Gap
-9.0%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTTài nguyên Cơ bảnCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Tài nguyên Cơ bản" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA813.07B
Fair EV/EBITDA6.0x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
813.07B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
6.0x
-
Net Debt
1279.91B
=
Equity Value
44.261
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PTB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

80
Good
Accrual Quality
96
Cash Conversion
69
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.50
Moderate
DSRI
0.927
GMI
0.922
AQI
0.841
SGI
1.129
DEPI
1.063
SGAI
0.987
TATA
0.011
LVGI
1.064

PTB exhibits a low risk of earnings manipulation, as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -2.4989, well below the threshold for potential manipulation. The earnings quality score of 79.5/100 reflects strong performance in key areas, although revenue recognition remains a concern.

Red Flags
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 suggests potential issues with revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Strong earnings quality metrics with an accrual score of 95.7/100 and receivables score of 100.0/100 indicate robust financial health.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated among a few individuals, which could pose risks related to governance and decision-making, but also suggests a commitment to the company's long-term success.

Recommendation

Monitor revenue recognition practices closely due to the low revenue quality score, while considering the overall strong earnings quality metrics as a positive indicator for investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.53
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.08
Positive
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.9%
Volatility
28.8%
Max Drawdown
-21.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.55P/E
P/B1.02
P/S0.45
ROE16.3%
ROA8.4%
EPS7428.91
BVPS47913.73
Gross Margin20.5%
Net Margin6.8%
D/E0.91
Current Ratio1.53
Rev Growth12.9%
Profit Growth34.9%
EV/EBITDA5.01
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
80.3M
Charter Capital
803.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Tài nguyên Cơ bản
Industry (ICB L3)
Lâm nghiệp và Giấy
Sub-industry
Lâm sản và Chế biến gỗ
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PTB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Lê Vỹ
Indiv
13.5%
10.8 trieu
Lê Văn Thảo
Indiv
8.7%
7.0 trieu
Nguyễn Sỹ Hòe
Indiv
6.3%
5.0 trieu
Lê Văn Lộc
Indiv
6.2%
5.0 trieu
nguyen-huu-tam
Indiv
4.9%
3.3 trieu
Trần Thanh Cung
Indiv
4.4%
3.5 trieu
Norges Bank
Inst
4.0%
2.7 trieu
Võ Thị Hoài Châu
Indiv
2.8%
2.3 trieu
Phan Quốc Hoài
Indiv
1.4%
1.1 trieu
Trương Huy Danh
Indiv
0.9%
127.794
Nguyễn Đức Thắng
Indiv
0.8%
216.941
Đỗ Xuân Lập
Indiv
0.5%
332.563
Samsung Vietnam Securities Master Investment Trust
Inst
0.5%
328.000
Văn Thị Vinh
Indiv
0.4%
350.055
Phan Hồng Quý
Indiv
0.3%
241.430
Lê Anh Văn
Indiv
0.3%
166.910
Bùi Thức Hùng
Indiv
0.2%
192.080
KB Vietnam Focus Balanced Fund
Inst
0.2%
153.000
Lê Thục Trinh
Indiv
0.2%
148.792
amersham industries limited
Inst
0.1%
100.000
Trần Hữu Đức
Indiv
0.1%
83.951
Đậu Văn Tâm
Indiv
0.1%
15.430
Lê Văn Luận
Indiv
0.1%
79.930
Board & Management
Lê Vỹ13.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Thảo8.7%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Sỹ Hòe6.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc Xí nghiệp/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Văn Lộc6.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc Chi nhánh
Trần Thanh Cung4.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Quốc Hoài1.4%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Xuân Lập0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Bùi Thức Hùng0.2%
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Trần Hữu Đức0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Thị Mỹ Loan
Kế toán trưởng
Đặng Thị Tú Oanh
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Huỳnh Thị Huệ
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Trương Công Hoàng
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →