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Consumer sector

MCF

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Xây lắp Cơ khí và Lương thực Thực phẩm
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
7.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
59.001
Current
7.500
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
70.99%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.33%
x
D/(D+E)
29.01%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.70%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF37.86B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
37.86B
Growth Rate
3.70%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
59.001
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MCF

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

80
Good
Accrual Quality
39
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
91
Revenue Quality
75

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.81
Low Risk
DSRI
0.709
GMI
0.728
AQI
0.545
SGI
1.105
DEPI
0.739
SGAI
1.255
TATA
-0.180
LVGI
0.737

MCF exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.8131, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the ownership structure is heavily concentrated, which may pose governance risks despite strong earnings quality metrics.

Red Flags
  • High concentration of ownership with Tổng Công ty Lương thực Miền Nam holding 60.0%, potentially limiting minority shareholder influence.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 79.5/100 indicates strong cash conversion and receivables management, with cash conversion at a perfect 100.0/100.
Ownership Risk

The significant ownership by a state-owned enterprise (SOE) may lead to potential conflicts of interest and governance challenges, impacting decision-making in favor of the majority shareholder.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor governance practices closely and consider engaging with management to ensure minority interests are protected, while also leveraging the strong earnings quality metrics for potential investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
5.14
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.50
Negative
Composite
74
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
-6.7%
Volatility
15.1%
Max Drawdown
-17.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.87P/E
P/B0.67
P/S0.15
ROE8.6%
ROA5.6%
EPS953.41
BVPS11135.51
Gross Margin11.8%
Net Margin1.9%
D/E0.41
Current Ratio3.10
Rev Growth10.5%
Profit Growth6.4%
EV/EBITDA4.49
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.8M
Charter Capital
107.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MCF — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Lương thực Miền Nam
Inst
60.0%
6.5 trieu
Trần Xuân Hùng
Indiv
4.4%
470.000
Phạm Văn Tố
Indiv
0.7%
53.000
Lê Thị Anh
Indiv
0.6%
47.000
Nguyễn Thị Muôn
Indiv
0.5%
58.335
Trần Thị Yến
Indiv
0.5%
52.812
Lê Văn Lộc
Indiv
0.4%
41.360
Hồ Văn Luân
Indiv
0.4%
30.000
Nguyễn Bình Hiển
Indiv
0.3%
36.348
Nguyễn Hữu Trung
Indiv
0.2%
19.983
afc vietnam fund
Inst
0.2%
21.002
Hoàng Thị Liên
Indiv
0.2%
20.208
Lê Trường Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
18.839
Nguyễn Văn Kiệt
Indiv
0.1%
14.280
Huỳnh Văn Tranh
Indiv
0.1%
8.026
Board & Management
Nguyễn Bình Hiển0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Thị Liên0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Trường Sơn0.2%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Kiệt0.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Phượng
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Vĩnh Thanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Võ Hùng Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hoài
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Hồng Nhung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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