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Cyclicals sector

PVB

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Bọc ống Dầu khí Việt Nam
Dầu khí/Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khíCT
29.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.233
Current
29.600
Gap
-51.9%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDầu khíCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Dầu khí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Equity Value Bvps Floor
BVPS
20.333
x
Discount
70%
=
Floor Value
20.333

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PVB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

28
Poor
Accrual Quality
15
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
15
Revenue Quality
24

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

0.36
High Risk
DSRI
1.650
GMI
0.841
AQI
1.073
SGI
3.136
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.560
TATA
0.289
LVGI
3.818

The Beneish M-Score of 0.3601 significantly exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a high likelihood of earnings manipulation. Additionally, the low Earnings Quality Score of 28.3/100, particularly the poor cash conversion and margin metrics, raises substantial concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 0.3601 indicates potential earnings manipulation, well above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 28.3/100, with an eq_cash_conv of 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in cash flow relative to earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of accounts receivable, which may suggest effective collection practices.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tổng Công ty Khí Việt Nam holding 52.9%, which may lead to governance risks and reduced accountability for minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider a thorough review of financial statements and cash flow reports before making investment decisions in PVB, given the high risk of earnings manipulation.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.31
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.35
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+13.6%
Volatility
55.2%
Max Drawdown
-34.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.64P/E
P/B1.64
P/S0.86
ROE15.1%
ROA7.9%
EPS2860.97
BVPS20332.96
Gross Margin15.1%
Net Margin7.4%
D/E1.54
Current Ratio1.61
Rev Growth213.6%
Profit Growth325.4%
EV/EBITDA10.45
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
21.6M
Charter Capital
216.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Dầu khí
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khí
Sub-industry
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Dầu khí
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PVB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Khí Việt Nam
Inst
52.9%
11.4 trieu
Samarang Ucits - Samarang Asian Prosperity
Inst
4.9%
1.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý quỹ đầu tư MB
Inst
1.1%
242.000
Board & Management
Bùi Hữu Dương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Tuấn Thành
Phó Giám đốc
Lê Quyết Thắng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Văn Hưng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tuấn Thành
Phó Giám đốc
Lê Hồng Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Huyền
Phó Giám đốc
Vũ Tuấn Ngọc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Văn Quang
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán/Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Thị Ánh Tuyết
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Đức Hòa
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Tô Thị Huyền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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