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Construction sector

S12

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Đà 12
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
1.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.250
Current
1.700
Gap
+385.3%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
12.20%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
50%DCF Value
8.250
Blended Intrinsic
8.250
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — S12

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

54
Fair
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2023

2.22
High Risk
DSRI
0.149
GMI
5.683
AQI
1.006
SGI
4.355
DEPI
0.890
SGAI
0.045
TATA
-0.027
LVGI
1.024

The Beneish M-Score of 2.2228 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, significantly exceeding the threshold of -1.78. Coupled with a low earnings quality score of 44.6/100, particularly poor cash conversion and revenue metrics, S12 presents substantial risks for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 2.2228 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 44.6/100, with cash conversion at only 9.0/100 and revenue metrics at 0.0/100, highlighting severe quality issues.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.1494 suggests a low risk of revenue inflation through receivables.
  • High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top three shareholders holding 80% of the company. This concentration can lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider avoiding S12 due to high manipulation risk and poor earnings quality. A thorough review of financial statements and management practices is advised before any investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-4.70
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.34
Positive
Composite
74
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+33.3%
Volatility
92.3%
Max Drawdown
-53.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-32.65P/E
P/B0.00
P/S2.68
ROE0.2%
ROA-0.2%
EPS-52.06
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin-90.1%
Net Margin-8.2%
D/E-1.66
Current Ratio0.13
Rev Growth71.5%
Profit Growth92.5%
EV/EBITDA9.06
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.0M
Charter Capital
50.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for S12 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Sông Đà
Inst
49.0%
2.5 trieu
Tổng Công ty Xi măng Việt Nam
Inst
24.0%
1.2 trieu
Công Ty Cổ Phần Kỹ Thuật Xây Dựng Hàn Quốc Và Việt Nam
Inst
7.0%
350.000
Nguyễn Thái Vân Trang
Indiv
4.2%
208.400
Đỗ Dũng
Indiv
0.2%
10.000
Trần Văn Hào
Indiv
0.1%
6.780
Board & Management
Trịnh Khải
Phó Giám đốc
Phạm Văn Viết
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Văn Khoa
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Sơn Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Thị Hợi
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Nguyễn Sỹ Linh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Anh Thái
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thế Hệ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Hải
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Đào Tuấn Khôi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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