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Construction sector

SD5

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Đà 5
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
7.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
45.299
Current
7.600
Gap
+496.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
31.96%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.41%
x
D/(D+E)
68.04%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
22.376
50%DCF Value
68.222
Blended Intrinsic
45.299
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SD5

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

82
Good
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
81
Revenue Quality
30

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.44
Moderate
DSRI
0.324
GMI
1.426
AQI
1.786
SGI
1.394
DEPI
0.879
SGAI
1.256
TATA
-0.043
LVGI
0.934

The Beneish M-Score of -2.4433 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal concerns, particularly with a low revenue quality score of 30.0/100, suggesting potential issues with revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Low revenue quality score of 30.0/100 indicates potential issues with revenue recognition.
  • GMI of 1.4265 suggests increasing gross margin pressures, which could signal future profitability concerns.
Positive Signals
  • Strong earnings quality score of 82.4/100, particularly high cash conversion score of 100.0/100, indicating effective cash flow management.
  • Low DSRI of 0.3238 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Tổng Công ty Sông Đà at 64.2% raises potential governance risks, as decision-making may be heavily influenced by a single entity. This could limit minority shareholder influence and transparency.

Recommendation

Monitor revenue recognition practices closely due to the low revenue quality score. Consider diversifying investments or engaging with management to address governance concerns stemming from concentrated ownership.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.75
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.08
Negative
Composite
82
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+8.0%
Volatility
23.8%
Max Drawdown
-23.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.64P/E
P/B0.43
P/S0.06
ROE4.9%
ROA1.6%
EPS913.83
BVPS18522.72
Gross Margin2.7%
Net Margin0.7%
D/E1.88
Current Ratio1.21
Rev Growth39.4%
Profit Growth0.5%
EV/EBITDA-0.14
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
26.0M
Charter Capital
260.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SD5 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Sông Đà
Inst
64.2%
16.7 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Chứng Khoán Năng động DC
Inst
4.3%
390.100
america limited liability company
Inst
3.4%
873.000
Quỹ Đầu tư Tăng trưởng Việt Nam (VF2)
Inst
2.0%
516.800
Công ty Cổ phần Quản Lý Quỹ đầu tư Dragon Capital Việt Nam
Inst
1.2%
303.900
Tập đoàn Bảo Việt
Inst
1.0%
259.100
Ứng Vũ Thanh
Indiv
0.4%
100.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Ngọc Đông
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mạnh Toàn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đắc Điệp
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Quang Tuấn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Đức Quang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Quang Hưng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trọng Thủy
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Bùi Chí Giang
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hồng Vân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Anh Đức
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đại Thụ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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