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Construction sector

SD4

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Đà 4
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
1.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
10.691
Current
1.600
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
12.20%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
4.231
50%DCF Value
17.150
Blended Intrinsic
10.691
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SD4

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

41
Weak
Accrual Quality
77
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
81

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.26
Low Risk
DSRI
1.341
GMI
0.162
AQI
0.898
SGI
0.705
DEPI
0.923
SGAI
1.371
TATA
-0.059
LVGI
1.009

SD4 shows signs of potential financial manipulation, as indicated by its Beneish M-Score of -3.2638, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 41.3 suggests some strengths, particularly in revenue recognition, significant weaknesses in cash conversion and receivables raise concerns.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.2638 indicates potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 41.3/100, particularly low cash conversion at 40.0/100 and receivables at 0.0/100, suggests poor earnings quality.
Positive Signals
  • Revenue quality score of 81.4/100 indicates strong revenue recognition practices.
  • DSRI of 1.3415 suggests that inventory growth is in line with sales growth, which is a positive sign.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Tổng Công ty Sông Đà at 65.0% may lead to governance risks, as minority shareholders have limited influence over corporate decisions.

Recommendation

Investors should proceed with caution, closely monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements. Consider a deeper analysis of management's operational practices and potential impacts of SOE regulations on financial disclosures.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.21
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.43
Negative
Composite
54
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-7.7%
Volatility
121.7%
Max Drawdown
-58.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-3.60P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.17
ROE51.8%
ROA-0.8%
EPS-528.05
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin28.4%
Net Margin-4.7%
D/E-48.23
Current Ratio0.96
Rev Growth-29.5%
Profit Growth87.3%
EV/EBITDA9.44
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.3M
Charter Capital
103.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SD4 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Sông Đà
Inst
65.0%
6.7 trieu
Hồ Sỹ Hùng
Indiv
0.5%
53.261
Ngô Minh Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
23.800
Trần Văn Thông
Indiv
0.2%
23.730
Nguyễn Hữu Lợi
Indiv
0.1%
11.000
Board & Management
Hồ Sỹ Hùng0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Tấn Trường
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vương Đắc Hùng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Phan Xuân Minh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Văn Trọng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Tú Mậu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Đức Minh
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Ngọc Linh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Triệu Thị Thu Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Cao Thanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Văn Chiến
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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