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Construction sector

BCC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xi măng Bỉm Sơn
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
7.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.214
Current
7.300
Gap
+94.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
52.07%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
47.93%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
14.327
50%DCF Value
14.101
Blended Intrinsic
14.214
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BCC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

62
Fair
Accrual Quality
66
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.70
Elevated
DSRI
1.678
GMI
0.881
AQI
2.408
SGI
1.060
DEPI
0.904
SGAI
0.984
TATA
-0.085
LVGI
0.984

BCC exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.6969, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the high DSRI of 1.6775 and low earnings quality score of 61.5/100 raise concerns about revenue recognition and overall earnings quality.

Red Flags
  • High DSRI of 1.6775 suggests potential issues with inventory management or sales growth not matching receivables growth.
  • Earnings quality score of 61.5/100 is below the optimal threshold, particularly driven by a 0.0/100 score in both eq_margin and eq_revenue, indicating significant concerns in profit margins and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.6969 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests effective cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated with Tổng Công ty Xi măng Việt Nam holding 73.1%, which may lead to governance risks and lack of minority shareholder protection.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor BCC's revenue recognition practices and consider conducting further due diligence on management's operational strategies, particularly in light of the elevated DSRI and low earnings quality metrics.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.10
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.26
Negative
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-1.2%
Volatility
29.8%
Max Drawdown
-23.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
29.80P/E
P/B0.49
P/S0.24
ROE1.7%
ROA0.9%
EPS244.93
BVPS14965.57
Gross Margin9.8%
Net Margin0.8%
D/E0.89
Current Ratio0.48
Rev Growth6.7%
Profit Growth585.0%
EV/EBITDA3.35
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
123.2M
Charter Capital
1232.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BCC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Xi măng Việt Nam
Inst
73.1%
90.1 trieu
Doãn Nam Khánh
Indiv
10.4%
9.9 trieu
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam RSP Balanced Fund
Inst
5.0%
4.8 trieu
nguyen-thanh-chuong
Indiv
3.4%
3.3 trieu
Tạ Duy
Indiv
2.9%
2.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Vicem Bao bì Bỉm Sơn
Inst
0.2%
162.120
Board & Management
NGUYỄN HOÀNH VÂN
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đức Sơn
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lê Hữu Phăng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Chí Thức
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Văn Châu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Huy Quân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Kế toán trưởng
Vũ Văn Hoan
Phó Giám đốc
Ngô Đức Việt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Lê Hữu Hà
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Văn Phương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Thúy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Khanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Lê Xuân Khôi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Anh Tuấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Thế Hà
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Quang Đông
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

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