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Technology sector

SAM

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần SAM Holdings
Công nghệ Thông tin/Thiết bị và Phần cứngCT
6.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
1.467
Current
6.600
Gap
-77.8%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTCông nghệ Thông tinTechnology
Classified as technology because ICB sector "Công nghệ Thông tin" maps to the technology group
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
69.87%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.77%
x
D/(D+E)
30.13%
=
WACC
11.24%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E10x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
815
40%P/E Value
2.445
Blended Intrinsic
1.467
Value Decomposition
46%
54%
Explicit period (46%)Terminal value (54%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SAM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

47
Weak
Accrual Quality
79
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
26
Revenue Quality
25

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.65
Elevated
DSRI
0.479
GMI
1.417
AQI
1.010
SGI
1.835
DEPI
0.951
SGAI
0.548
TATA
0.049
LVGI
0.882

The Beneish M-Score of -1.6511 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 40.1/100, particularly the zero scores in cash conversion and revenue quality, raises significant concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 40.1/100 indicates poor earnings quality, especially with 0.0/100 in cash conversion and revenue quality.
  • SGI of 1.8355 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by actual cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.6511 is above the manipulation threshold, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a fragmented shareholder base with no single entity holding a significant controlling stake, which may lead to governance challenges and misalignment of interests.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue quality before making investment decisions, considering the elevated risk signals. A deeper analysis of operational performance and growth sustainability is recommended.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.93
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.19
Negative
Composite
34
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+5.1%
Volatility
26.8%
Max Drawdown
-35.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
28.43P/E
P/B0.64
P/S0.43
ROE2.3%
ROA1.4%
EPS244.48
BVPS10806.02
Gross Margin3.4%
Net Margin1.5%
D/E0.51
Current Ratio1.76
Rev Growth51.3%
Profit Growth10.1%
EV/EBITDA39.88
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
380.0M
Charter Capital
3799.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Phần cứng
Sub-industry
Thiết bị viễn thông
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SAM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Trần Đức
Indiv
4.8%
8.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Và Thương mại Xuất nhập khẩu HFC Việt Nam
Inst
4.8%
8.6 trieu
Ngô Thị Lan Phương
Indiv
4.4%
8.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Quốc Gia
Inst
4.3%
16.5 trieu
Veil Holdings Limited
Inst
3.7%
9.0 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Phương
Indiv
3.6%
6.4 trieu
Đỗ Thị Thủy Trang
Indiv
3.6%
356.700
amersham industries limited
Inst
1.7%
3.1 trieu
Grinling International Limited
Inst
1.2%
2.9 trieu
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bảo hiểm Hùng Vương
Inst
1.1%
4.4 trieu
nguyen-dinh-tu
Indiv
0.8%
1.4 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản Lý Quỹ Bông Sen
Inst
0.2%
817.774
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thanh Xuân
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Hồ Anh Dũng
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Tùng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phương Xuân Thụy
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Việt Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Lê Sơn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Quang Bách
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tiến Việt
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Võ Nữ Từ Anh
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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