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Consumer sector

SGI

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư SGI Holdings
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
10.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
13.709
Current
10.100
Gap
+35.7%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
27.418
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
27.418

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SGI

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

58
Fair
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
53
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.20
Moderate
DSRI
0.970
GMI
1.165
AQI
0.416
SGI
1.524
DEPI
0.925
SGAI
0.826
TATA
0.004
LVGI
1.171

SGI's Beneish M-Score of -2.2046 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 57.9 indicates potential concerns, particularly with revenue and margin metrics, which could signal underlying financial issues.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality metrics show 0.0/100 for both eq_margin and eq_revenue, indicating significant concerns about profitability and revenue recognition.
  • SGI's GMI of 1.1650 indicates a potential increase in gross margin, which may not be sustainable given the low earnings quality.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.9699 suggests that accounts receivable are in line with revenue, which is a positive indicator of revenue recognition practices.
  • The high eq_accrual score of 98.4/100 indicates strong accrual quality, suggesting that reported earnings are backed by actual cash flows.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Hưng Phúc, holds 18.5%, indicating a significant institutional presence which may stabilize governance. However, the fragmented individual ownership could lead to potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor SGI's earnings quality metrics and revenue recognition practices, given the elevated risks. It may be prudent to approach with caution while considering potential for recovery in earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.16
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.40
Negative
Composite
47
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-13.1%
Volatility
70.7%
Max Drawdown
-34.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
567.96P/E
P/B0.37
P/S0.32
ROE0.1%
ROA0.0%
EPS17.78
BVPS27417.57
Gross Margin15.0%
Net Margin0.1%
D/E1.23
Current Ratio1.55
Rev Growth52.8%
Profit Growth-82.7%
EV/EBITDA194.62
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
75.5M
Charter Capital
754.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SGI — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Hưng Phúc
Inst
18.5%
13.9 trieu
Phạm Xuân Hồng
Indiv
5.3%
4.0 trieu
Cao Thị Quỳnh Liên
Indiv
4.9%
3.7 trieu
Nguyễn Ngọc Điệp
Indiv
3.7%
2.8 trieu
Bùi Văn Kiệt
Indiv
1.8%
1.4 trieu
Tô Mỹ Phấn
Indiv
0.9%
713.133
Nguyễn Ngọc Thuỳ Vân
Indiv
0.8%
592.760
Nguyễn Ngọc Thuỳ Nhân
Indiv
0.7%
528.310
Tạ Hoàng Sơn
Indiv
0.6%
470.839
Phạm Viết Lan Anh
Indiv
0.2%
151.363
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý quỹ đầu tư MB
Inst
0.2%
120.000
Đoàn Thị Kim Quyên
Indiv
0.1%
103.369
Quỹ Đầu tư Giá trị MB Capital
Inst
0.1%
100.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Quốc Việt20.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Xuân Hồng5.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Điệp3.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Văn Kiệt1.8%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Tạ Hoàng Sơn0.6%
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Viết Lan Anh0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hiền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Khánh Linh
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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