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Construction sector

SJE

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Đà 11
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
16.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
16.239
Current
16.700
Gap
-2.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
34.89%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.31%
x
D/(D+E)
65.11%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.02%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
-12.467
50%DCF Value
16.239
Blended Intrinsic
16.239
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SJE

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

14
Poor
Accrual Quality
21
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
58
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-0.36
High Risk
DSRI
2.337
GMI
0.690
AQI
1.363
SGI
0.709
DEPI
1.438
SGAI
1.225
TATA
0.246
LVGI
0.985

SJE exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -0.3611, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The low earnings quality score of 14.0/100, particularly concerning cash conversion and receivables, further raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -0.3611 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is significantly above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 14.0/100, with eq_cash_conv and eq_receivables both at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues with cash flow and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 2.3371 indicates that the company's inventory growth is not outpacing revenue growth, which may suggest some operational stability.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership, with Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Energy Việt Nam holding 56.0%, poses a risk of potential conflicts of interest and lack of minority shareholder protection.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding cash flow and revenue recognition practices, before considering any investment in SJE.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.87
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.46
Negative
Composite
25
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-9.7%
Volatility
39.5%
Max Drawdown
-34.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.75P/E
P/B0.60
P/S0.40
ROE14.7%
ROA4.1%
EPS3513.25
BVPS27881.67
Gross Margin22.0%
Net Margin8.4%
D/E1.87
Current Ratio1.18
Rev Growth-29.1%
Profit Growth-9.2%
EV/EBITDA7.27
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
40.0M
Charter Capital
400.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SJE — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Energy Việt Nam
Inst
56.0%
22.4 trieu
Tổng Công ty Sông Đà
Inst
10.2%
4.1 trieu
Lưu Văn Hổ
Indiv
5.0%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Hoan
Indiv
0.3%
60.583
Phạm Lạp
Indiv
0.2%
56.028
Nguyễn Hữu Hải
Indiv
0.2%
22.950
Ngô Văn Đễ
Indiv
0.1%
13.000
Nguyễn Đăng Bí
Indiv
0.1%
12.999
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Lương
Indiv
0.1%
21.094
Board & Management
Phạm Lạp0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Hải
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Vũ Hải
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Viết Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Văn Ngư
Kế toán trưởng/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lê Văn Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Minh Ngọc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Hằng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
NGUYỄN VĂN SƠN
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hà Hồng Nhung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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