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Construction sector

SD2

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Đà 2
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
5.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
22.251
Current
5.800
Gap
+283.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
36.45%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.00%
x
D/(D+E)
63.55%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
5.311
50%DCF Value
39.192
Blended Intrinsic
22.251
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SD2

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

35
Weak
Accrual Quality
38
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.64
Low Risk
DSRI
1.019
GMI
0.406
AQI
1.165
SGI
0.713
DEPI
0.862
SGAI
0.185
TATA
-0.182
LVGI
0.845

SD2 exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by its Beneish M-Score of -3.6405, which significantly exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the low earnings quality score of 34.6/100, particularly the zero scores in receivables, margin, and revenue metrics, raises further concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.6405 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 34.6/100, with zero scores in receivables, margin, and revenue metrics, suggests poor earnings quality.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion rate of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tổng Công ty Sông Đà holding 40.8%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in a state-owned enterprise context.

Recommendation

Investors should proceed with caution, closely monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements. It may be prudent to consider divesting or reducing exposure until clearer signals of financial stability and integrity emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
0.59
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.60
Negative
Composite
39
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-34.0%
Volatility
74.1%
Max Drawdown
-50.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.67P/E
P/B0.62
P/S0.48
ROE9.8%
ROA2.9%
EPS525.03
BVPS5631.53
Gross Margin16.8%
Net Margin7.2%
D/E1.74
Current Ratio1.52
Rev Growth-28.7%
Profit Growth227.1%
EV/EBITDA3.28
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
14.4M
Charter Capital
144.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SD2 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Sông Đà
Inst
40.8%
5.9 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Cương
Indiv
19.4%
2.8 trieu
Hoàng Văn Sơn
Indiv
7.4%
1.1 trieu
Hồ Văn Dũng
Indiv
4.6%
670.000
Dương Ngọc Hải
Indiv
4.6%
662.229
Phạm Văn Viết
Indiv
0.4%
49.833
Phạm Văn Mạnh
Indiv
0.1%
15.516
Trần Văn Trường
Indiv
0.1%
14.933
Board & Management
Dương Ngọc Hải4.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Mạnh Đoàn
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Bình Lục
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Văn Toản
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Tuấn Việt
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đào Đức Phong
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Xuân Hoàng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Văn Ngọc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Vũ Luật
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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