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Construction sector

SD3

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Đà 3
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
8.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.586
Current
8.100
Gap
+80.1%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
16.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.12%
x
D/(D+E)
83.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.01%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
24.714
50%DCF Value
4.458
Blended Intrinsic
14.586
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SD3

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
80
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.33
Moderate
DSRI
0.717
GMI
0.875
AQI
0.532
SGI
1.347
DEPI
1.051
SGAI
0.380
TATA
0.050
LVGI
0.968

The Beneish M-Score of -2.3271 indicates that SD3 is not likely engaging in earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the low earnings quality score of 40.0/100, particularly the zero scores in cash conversion and revenue quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 40.0/100, with 0.0/100 in cash conversion and revenue quality, indicating potential issues in actual cash generation from reported earnings.
  • SGI of 1.3475 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by actual operational performance.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.3271 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests strong management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty Sông Đà (51.0%) indicates a concentration of control, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest in decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and operational performance to validate the sustainability of earnings. Consider a cautious approach, given the elevated risks associated with earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.08
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.52
Positive
Composite
61
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+35.8%
Volatility
72.5%
Max Drawdown
-19.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.02P/E
P/B1.49
P/S0.69
ROE45.2%
ROA3.0%
EPS1828.96
BVPS4926.54
Gross Margin64.1%
Net Margin17.3%
D/E10.85
Current Ratio0.75
Rev Growth34.8%
Profit Growth1358.9%
EV/EBITDA4.91
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
16.0M
Charter Capital
160.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SD3 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Sông Đà
Inst
51.0%
8.2 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Tuyết Oanh
Indiv
9.3%
1.5 trieu
Nguyễn Hữu Bằng
Indiv
5.0%
799.303
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán VIX
Inst
4.4%
701.100
Công ty Cổ phần Xi măng Sông Đà Yaly
Inst
1.6%
250.000
Board & Management
Bùi Hữu An
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Khuất Văn Hiến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hữu Phước
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Khánh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Xuân Thông
Kế toán trưởng
Tạ Duy Sơn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Năm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Trọng Tài
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Ngọc Minh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Đình Đông
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Xuân Toán
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Kim Thành Nam
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Văn Tăng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tiến Trường
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phí Đình Mạnh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Văn Hà
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Việt Lương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Duy Huân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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