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Construction sector

TAB

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Freco Việt Nam
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
12.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
43.033
Current
12.500
Gap
+244.3%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
74.28%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.31%
x
D/(D+E)
25.72%
=
WACC
10.68%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.83%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
19.581
50%DCF Value
66.485
Blended Intrinsic
43.033
Value Decomposition
37%
63%
Explicit period (37%)Terminal value (63%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TAB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

70
Good
Accrual Quality
17
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

15.27
High Risk
DSRI
0.423
GMI
0.440
AQI
51.121
SGI
0.856
DEPI
0.465
SGAI
2.787
TATA
-0.273
LVGI
0.677

The Beneish M-Score of 15.2727 indicates a strong likelihood of earnings manipulation, significantly exceeding the threshold of -1.78. Coupled with a low earnings quality score and high Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (SGAI), this stock presents considerable risks for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 15.2727 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • SGAI of 2.7875 suggests excessive spending on sales and administration, which could be unsustainable.
  • Earnings quality score of 70.3/100 is concerning, particularly with an accrual score of only 16.9/100, indicating poor earnings quality.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings.
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated among a few individuals, each holding around 8.9%, which could lead to potential governance issues and lack of accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider avoiding this stock due to the high risk of earnings manipulation and poor earnings quality. A deeper investigation into the company's financial practices and governance structure is recommended.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
4.77
Safe Zone

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
27.84P/E
P/B1.53
P/S1.43
ROE5.6%
ROA4.2%
EPS646.54
BVPS11792.35
Gross Margin13.0%
Net Margin5.1%
D/E0.26
Current Ratio2.50
Rev Growth-14.4%
Profit Growth65.3%
EV/EBITDA14.78
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.5M
Charter Capital
65.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Dịch vụ vận tải
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TAB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Vũ Hoài Nam
Indiv
8.9%
580.000
Lâm Thị Huyền Trang
Indiv
8.9%
580.000
Lê Hoàng Duy
Indiv
8.9%
580.000
Lê Tuấn Tài
Indiv
8.9%
580.000
Lê Thị Hồng
Indiv
5.7%
372.700
Phạm Văn Hợp
Indiv
4.8%
313.200
Đặng Tiến Sỹ
Indiv
4.7%
306.700
Đinh Thuý Nga
Indiv
2.3%
150.000
Trần Thị Việt Ánh
Indiv
2.3%
150.000
Phan Văn Hùng
Indiv
1.8%
120.000
nguyen-viet-hung-2
Indiv
1.5%
100.000
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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