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Construction sector

VMC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần VIMECO
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
4.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
12.920
Current
4.500
Gap
+187.1%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
25.40%
+
Kd(1-t)
3.05%
x
D/(D+E)
74.60%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.16%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
3.844
50%DCF Value
21.995
Blended Intrinsic
12.920
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VMC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

56
Fair
Accrual Quality
75
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
79
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.73
Low Risk
DSRI
1.059
GMI
0.871
AQI
1.783
SGI
0.731
DEPI
1.019
SGAI
1.225
TATA
-0.064
LVGI
0.942

VMC's Beneish M-Score of -2.7337 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in receivables and revenue recognition, which could pose risks to financial integrity.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 55.5/100 indicates moderate concerns, especially with eq_receivables at 0.0/100, suggesting potential issues in revenue collection.
  • SGI at 0.7307 shows declining sales growth, which may raise concerns about future revenue sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • The cash conversion rate is perfect at 100.0/100, indicating strong cash flow relative to earnings.
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7337 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, which is a positive signal for investors.
Ownership Risk

The top three individual shareholders control a combined 46.8% of VMC, indicating a concentrated ownership structure that could lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor VMC's revenue recognition practices and receivables management. Given the elevated risk level, a cautious approach is advised until improvements in earnings quality metrics are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.94
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.02
Negative
Composite
50
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-21.2%
Volatility
45.2%
Max Drawdown
-34.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
55.52P/E
P/B0.40
P/S0.18
ROE0.7%
ROA0.2%
EPS90.06
BVPS12501.92
Gross Margin8.7%
Net Margin0.3%
D/E2.36
Current Ratio1.17
Rev Growth-26.9%
Profit Growth-19.4%
EV/EBITDA9.99
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
28.7M
Charter Capital
287.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VMC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Trần Kim Ngọc
Indiv
24.9%
6.5 trieu
Dương Đức Vũ
Indiv
11.2%
2.9 trieu
Ngô Thị Quỳnh Vân
Indiv
10.7%
2.8 trieu
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu và Xây dựng Việt Nam
Inst
5.0%
1.3 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Tăng trưởng Việt Nam (VF2)
Inst
2.5%
250.900
Quỹ tầm nhìn SSI
Inst
2.0%
203.400
Quỹ Đầu tư Năng động Việt Nam
Indiv
1.4%
137.000
Vương Xuân Bền
Indiv
0.6%
127.660
Công ty TNHH Quản lý quỹ SSI
Inst
0.5%
45.200
Hồ Công Tâm
Indiv
0.4%
76.538
Nguyễn Học Trình
Indiv
0.4%
69.310
Đỗ Mạnh Hùng
Indiv
0.3%
33.612
Nguyễn Quốc Hòa
Indiv
0.3%
60.000
Phạm Văn Vũ
Indiv
0.3%
58.914
Trần Tuấn Anh
Indiv
0.3%
27.507
Nguyễn Sỹ Thiêm
Indiv
0.3%
55.094
Võ Thị Hải An
Indiv
0.2%
59.000
Lê Thế Hùng
Indiv
0.2%
52.489
Board & Management
Phạm Văn Vũ0.3%
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Thế Hùng0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Sỹ Tuấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Trung Huế
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đức Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Minh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Xuân Thanh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Văn Mậu
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Khắc Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Văn Hiếu
Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Kim Oanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Văn Mạnh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thắng
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đặng Ngọc Linh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hoàng Nam
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Trọng Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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