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Construction sector

VIW

Construction
Tổng công ty Đầu tư Nước và Môi trường Việt Nam - Công ty Cổ phần
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
31.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
24.015
Current
31.600
Gap
-24.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
36.16%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.27%
x
D/(D+E)
63.84%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
15.574
50%DCF Value
32.457
Blended Intrinsic
24.015
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VIW

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

64
Fair
Accrual Quality
74
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.82
Low Risk
DSRI
0.814
GMI
1.022
AQI
0.995
SGI
1.106
DEPI
0.986
SGAI
0.892
TATA
-0.065
LVGI
0.980

The Beneish M-Score of -2.8247 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, which is a positive signal. However, the earnings quality score of 63.5/100, particularly low scores in revenue and margin metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 0.0/100 for revenue and margin suggests significant issues in revenue recognition and profitability.
  • High ownership concentration with 98.2% held by a single institution raises concerns about lack of governance and potential conflicts of interest.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.8247 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong cash conversion and receivables metrics (100.0/100) suggest effective cash management.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming institutional ownership (98.2%) may lead to governance risks, as minority shareholders have limited influence over corporate decisions, potentially affecting transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider engaging with management to understand the strategies for improving earnings quality. Diversifying ownership could enhance governance and mitigate risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.16
Distress Zone
Sharpe
1.07
Excellent
Composite
56
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+20.9%
Volatility
128.9%
Max Drawdown
-60.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
32.63P/E
P/B1.12
P/S0.71
ROE3.5%
ROA1.1%
EPS367.72
BVPS10744.16
Gross Margin13.4%
Net Margin2.2%
D/E1.67
Current Ratio1.29
Rev Growth10.6%
Profit Growth391.1%
EV/EBITDA8.83
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
58.0M
Charter Capital
580.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VIW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu và Xây dựng Việt Nam
Inst
98.2%
56.9 trieu
Board & Management
Ngô Văn Dũng
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Huy Hải
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Khánh Linh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Minh Đức
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Sinh Kiên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Diệp
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thành Công
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
NGUYỄN ĐỨC BÔN
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Vũ Tiến
Kế toán trưởng
Vũ Đoàn Chung
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Anh Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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