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Construction sector

VTO

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vận tải Xăng dầu VITACO
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
11.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
High
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
42.220
Current
11.700
Gap
+260.9%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
72.42%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.19%
x
D/(D+E)
27.58%
=
WACC
10.54%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
31.570
50%DCF Value
52.870
Blended Intrinsic
42.220
Value Decomposition
37%
63%
Explicit period (37%)Terminal value (63%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VTO

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

74
Good
Accrual Quality
74
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
70
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.02
Low Risk
DSRI
0.745
GMI
0.941
AQI
1.030
SGI
1.010
DEPI
1.052
SGAI
1.211
TATA
-0.065
LVGI
0.877

VTO exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.0181, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue recognition, which could pose risks to financial integrity.

Red Flags
  • The revenue quality score is 0.0/100, indicating potential issues with revenue recognition practices.
  • SGAI at 1.2105 suggests aggressive spending on selling, general, and administrative expenses, raising concerns about cost management.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 74.0/100 indicates a relatively strong overall earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion at 100.0/100.
  • A Beneish M-Score of -3.0181 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty Vận Tải Thủy Petrolimex (51.9%) suggests potential influence over corporate governance, which could lead to conflicts of interest or lack of transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of high SG&A expenses. A thorough review of financial statements and potential governance issues is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
3.30
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.69
Negative
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-7.8%
Volatility
26.1%
Max Drawdown
-25.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.04P/E
P/B0.80
P/S0.83
ROE10.0%
ROA7.4%
EPS1467.66
BVPS14776.30
Gross Margin24.4%
Net Margin10.4%
D/E0.32
Current Ratio3.85
Rev Growth1.0%
Profit Growth5.8%
EV/EBITDA0.41
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
79.9M
Charter Capital
798.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Vận tải Thủy
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VTO — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Vận Tải Thủy Petrolimex
Inst
51.9%
41.5 trieu
Huỳnh Quế Hà
Indiv
3.9%
3.1 trieu
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Sài Gòn Thương Tín
Inst
3.7%
2.9 trieu
amersham industries limited
Inst
2.3%
1.9 trieu
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam RSP Balanced Fund
Inst
2.0%
1.6 trieu
KIM Vietnam Growth Equity Fund
Inst
1.4%
1.1 trieu
La Văn Út
Indiv
1.3%
1.0 trieu
tmam vietnam equity mother fund
Inst
1.3%
1.0 trieu
Văn Thị Hồng Phượng
Indiv
0.8%
600.000
Nguyễn Thị Tuyết
Indiv
0.7%
593.950
Kim Investment Funds - Kim Vietnam Growth Fund
Inst
0.7%
534.500
KIM PMAA Vietnam Securities Investment Trust 1(Equity)
Inst
0.4%
352.900
Hà Thị Nga
Indiv
0.4%
349.610
Lưu Văn Thăng
Indiv
0.3%
211.455
Đàm Xuân Trọng
Indiv
0.1%
106.640
Trần Tố Uyên
Indiv
0.1%
101.630
Hoàng Thị Mỹ Lợi
Indiv
0.1%
100.000
Phan Thị Thuý Hằng
Indiv
0.1%
80.000
Phan Thị Kim Liên
Indiv
0.1%
80.000
Board & Management
La Văn Út1.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Văn Thị Hồng Phượng0.8%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Tuyên
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Quang Chiến
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trương Văn Minh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Lý Trang Khanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Hồng Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Chí Nam
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trọng Nghĩa
Kế toán trưởng/Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Nguyễn Quang Cương
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tiến Dũng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Minh Ngọc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Quang Minh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thúy Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Văn Trung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

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