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Construction sector

PJT

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vận tải Xăng dầu đường thủy Petrolimex
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
9.390
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
29.396
Current
9.390
Gap
+213.1%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
69.58%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.33%
x
D/(D+E)
30.42%
=
WACC
10.41%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.86%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
18.529
50%DCF Value
40.264
Blended Intrinsic
29.396
Value Decomposition
36%
64%
Explicit period (36%)Terminal value (64%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PJT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
58
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
63
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.51
Low Risk
DSRI
0.609
GMI
1.080
AQI
3.123
SGI
1.023
DEPI
1.486
SGAI
1.017
TATA
-0.109
LVGI
1.417

PJT displays a concerning risk profile with a Beneish M-Score of -2.5129, indicating potential earnings manipulation. However, its earnings quality score of 68.9 suggests reasonable performance in cash conversion and receivables management, which mitigates some risk.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.5129, significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality revenue score of 0.0/100, indicating potential issues with revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 100.0/100, indicating strong cash generation capabilities.
  • Strong institutional ownership at 51.2% by Tổng Công ty Vận Tải Thủy Petrolimex, suggesting stability and confidence from a major stakeholder.
Ownership Risk

The high institutional ownership (51.2%) provides a level of stability, but the concentration of ownership raises potential governance risks, particularly if decisions favor the interests of the major shareholder.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor PJT's revenue recognition practices and consider a cautious approach, given the elevated risk of earnings manipulation, while leveraging its strong cash conversion metrics.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
2.44
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.42
Negative
Composite
63
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-10.1%
Volatility
43.0%
Max Drawdown
-20.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.98P/E
P/B0.67
P/S0.31
ROE6.8%
ROA4.6%
EPS890.50
BVPS13214.12
Gross Margin9.3%
Net Margin3.1%
D/E0.60
Current Ratio1.48
Rev Growth2.3%
Profit Growth-23.0%
EV/EBITDA3.42
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
24.9M
Charter Capital
248.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Vận tải Thủy
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PJT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Vận Tải Thủy Petrolimex
Inst
51.2%
12.7 trieu
Ngô Anh Dũng
Indiv
10.8%
2.7 trieu
Phan Văn Cầu
Indiv
5.1%
778.210
Phan Văn Kỳ
Indiv
5.1%
1.3 trieu
Phạm Ngọc Sinh
Indiv
2.3%
588.829
Đặng Thị Xuân Hương
Indiv
0.5%
114.426
Phan Anh Đức
Indiv
0.4%
112.984
Đàm Trọng Nghĩa
Indiv
0.3%
83.413
Phạm Việt Khoa
Indiv
0.3%
40.000
Trương Thị Yến Nga
Indiv
0.2%
54.000
Nguyễn Quang Hiếu
Indiv
0.2%
20.000
Phan Công Trung
Indiv
0.2%
43.200
Bùi Hoàng Hào
Indiv
0.2%
25.000
Đinh Kim Oanh
Indiv
0.2%
37.435
Nguyễn Thị Hiền
Indiv
0.2%
40.390
Nguyễn Duy Hải
Indiv
0.1%
29.627
Phạm Văn Toản
Indiv
0.1%
23.760
Board & Management
Phan Văn Kỳ5.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Ngọc Sinh2.3%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Thị Xuân Hương0.5%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đàm Trọng Nghĩa0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Văn Long0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hiền0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Duy Hải0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Văn Trọng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tuấn Hưng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Anh Tuấn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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