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Construction sector

YBC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xi măng và Khoáng sản Yên Bái
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
7.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.831
Current
7.100
Gap
-17.9%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Enterprise Value
BVPS
11.662
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
11.662

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — YBC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

43
Weak
Accrual Quality
99
Cash Conversion
55
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
27
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.70
Low Risk
DSRI
1.283
GMI
0.773
AQI
0.240
SGI
0.878
DEPI
1.446
SGAI
1.053
TATA
0.003
LVGI
1.015

YBC exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential earnings manipulation, as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -2.7024, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 42.5/100 highlights significant weaknesses in revenue recognition and margin quality, raising further concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7024 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality metrics show a receivables score of 0.0/100 and a revenue score of 0.0/100, suggesting severe issues in revenue recognition and collection efficiency.
Positive Signals
  • The accrual quality score is relatively high at 98.7/100, indicating that the company may have a good track record of converting earnings into cash.
  • The SGI of 0.8776 suggests that the company's sales growth is stable, which could indicate a sustainable business model.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated, with the top five shareholders holding a combined 58.3% of shares, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest. This concentration could also impact minority shareholders' rights and influence management decisions.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding revenue recognition practices and cash flow management. Monitoring future earnings reports and any changes in ownership structure is advisable before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.62
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.05
Positive
Composite
48
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+27.5%
Volatility
116.6%
Max Drawdown
-72.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
8.17P/E
P/B0.86
P/S0.14
ROE11.0%
ROA1.2%
EPS1224.74
BVPS11662.21
Gross Margin12.2%
Net Margin1.7%
D/E8.96
Current Ratio0.85
Rev Growth-12.2%
Profit Growth72.6%
EV/EBITDA6.05
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
11.8M
Charter Capital
118.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for YBC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Vũ Xuân Nguyên
Indiv
14.5%
1.7 trieu
Phạm Quang Phú
Indiv
12.9%
1.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Thương mại Quốc tế Khánh An
Inst
10.8%
971.300
Trần Hoàng Diệu Linh
Indiv
5.2%
300.300
Trần Ngọc Tuấn
Indiv
4.9%
282.500
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Dầu khí An Pha
Inst
4.1%
200.000
nguyen-thu-thuy
Indiv
4.0%
234.900
Nguyễn Tường Thuật
Indiv
0.2%
14.170
Nguyễn Văn Thắng
Indiv
0.2%
26.970
nguyen-quang-chien
Indiv
0.1%
13.720
Board & Management
Vũ Xuân Nguyên14.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Quang Phú12.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quang Chiến0.1%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Tống Văn Tý
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Mạnh Cường
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đình Hoàng
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Hữu Thạo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Nghiêm Chang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Văn Thắng
Phó Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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