GGG
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GGG
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2021
The Beneish M-Score of -3.6444 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 28.1/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Earnings Quality Score of 28.1/100, with eq_cash_conv at 21.2/100 indicating poor cash conversion relative to earnings.
- Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 suggests potential issues with revenue recognition or reporting.
- Beneish M-Score of -3.6444 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation compared to the threshold.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Đàm Thận Mạnh holding 39.5%, which could lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.
Investors should closely monitor cash flow and revenue recognition practices, and consider engaging with management to clarify earnings quality concerns before making investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for GGG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate