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VietnamConsumerHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpTư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhUPCOMCT
7.100
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+11.9%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
7.100
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
7.942

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.49%
Ke
11.49%
x
E/(D+E)
35.59%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.62%
x
D/(D+E)
64.41%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.82%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→109.14B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→7.100
Calibrated value vs last close→+11.9%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
7.942
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.00%
Growth rate4.82%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow109.1 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth1.8%3.3%4.8%6.3%7.8%
8.0%7.9597.9598.1438.2918.291
9.0%7.1987.1987.5847.5847.942
10.0%N/AN/AN/A5.6037.198
11.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
12.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,7332,2012,3701,9701,4601,8641,5811,079699512635342330
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·43118622018678265209733235502111
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·138814793545211545631500
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·9669061,161691489566436539387279246120122
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·9176871128254976231233734
Net Inventories
·1,130993923969813952792420272194317189183
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·1,130993929969813952792420272194317189183
Other current assets
·6834193126292911271315
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000001113
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,1791,077980809706519436254232235213194180
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·2523555320.90.90.20.100
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·2523555320.90.90.20.100
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·792618532495394283246234213212201185178
Tangible fixed assets
·385240229315252173178176151170156130133
Leased assets
·375346270146107733322254660
Intagible fixed assets
·33323335353635363738393940
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·250242249181201171168121313770.2
Investments in associate companies
·80787811110771313770
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·16916316316416416316150.20.20.20.20.2
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·0000080000000
Other non-current assets
·2726151214166124422
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·1630.40.7256124421
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·3,9113,2783,3502,7792,1662,3832,0171,333930747848536510
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·3,0492,4692,5632,2811,6991,9291,610972748568717461437
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·2,5642,1682,2971,9371,4321,8091,486909665482593334295
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·1,2031,1951,256733673669603442374281271152152
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·88842141024019516330996301029926
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·485301265344266121124638386124128142
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·40620016920758120124638386124127124
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·8628097874984684544083611821791317573
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·8628097874984684544083611821791317573
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·6006006003663663663333001501501207070
Foreign Currency Difference reserve
·220.5−2−20.90000000
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·1921555454541185430.60.30
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·7256136835257483821201043
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·3,9113,2783,3502,7792,1662,3832,0171,333930747848536510
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·016110000000000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·6006006003663663663333001501501207070
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·0000023222176000

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
79
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
75
Margin Stability
50
Revenue Quality
46

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.65 · 31st pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.25
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.041
GMI
1.131
AQI
0.704
SGI
1.024
DEPI
1.168
SGAI
0.781
TATA
−0.046
LVGI
1.051

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
−0.8315th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
3.0%56th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.17
Distress Zone
Sharpe
−0.18
Negative
Composite
64
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.64×Interest Burden0.74×Op. Margin0.03×Turnover0.90×Leverage4.54=ROE6.4%
Price Risk
Momentum
−2.6%
Volatility
34.6%
Max Drawdown
−39.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.87P/E
P/B
0.50
P/S
0.12
ROE
6.6%
ROA
1.5%
EPS
915
BVPS
14.371
Gross Margin
8.2%
Net Margin
1.6%
D/E
1.87
Current Ratio
1.07
Rev Growth
+2.7%
Profit Growth
+8.0%
EV/EBITDA
5.64
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
60.0M
Charter Capital
600B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Nhà cung cấp thiết bị
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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