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Consumer sector

AMS

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Cơ khí Xây dựng AMECC
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
9.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
High
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
33.416
Current
9.300
Gap
+259.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
23.27%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.58%
x
D/(D+E)
76.73%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.58%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF181.96B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
181.96B
Growth Rate
4.58%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
33.416
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — AMS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

85
Good
Accrual Quality
77
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
92
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
46

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.47
Moderate
DSRI
1.129
GMI
1.224
AQI
0.958
SGI
1.027
DEPI
1.033
SGAI
0.725
TATA
-0.057
LVGI
1.041

AMS exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.4656, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly in revenue recognition, which could pose risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • The SGI of 1.0274 suggests a slight increase in sales growth, but the low eq_revenue score of 45.9/100 indicates potential issues with revenue recognition.
  • The GMI of 1.2243 indicates a decline in gross margin, which could signal deteriorating profitability.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 84.6/100, particularly strong cash conversion at 100.0/100, suggests robust cash flow generation.
  • High institutional ownership with Sankyu Inc. holding 35.0% and Công ty Cổ phần Lisemco at 25.0% indicates confidence from significant investors.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top three shareholders holding 79.1% of the company, raises concerns about potential governance issues and lack of minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor AMS's revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of its ownership structure. A cautious approach is advised, potentially waiting for clearer signals of revenue stability before making significant investments.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.12
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.43
Negative
Composite
69
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-12.5%
Volatility
25.4%
Max Drawdown
-25.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.27P/E
P/B0.64
P/S0.16
ROE7.1%
ROA1.6%
EPS991.15
BVPS14405.36
Gross Margin7.5%
Net Margin1.7%
D/E3.63
Current Ratio1.05
Rev Growth2.7%
Profit Growth8.0%
EV/EBITDA7.00
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
60.0M
Charter Capital
600.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Nhà cung cấp thiết bị
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for AMS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Sankyu Inc.
Inst
35.0%
21.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Lisemco
Inst
25.0%
0
Nguyễn Văn Thọ
Indiv
19.1%
11.5 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Nghĩa
Indiv
17.3%
10.4 trieu
Trương Minh Tuấn
Indiv
7.2%
1.4 trieu
nguyen-dinh-nam
Indiv
7.0%
1.4 trieu
Ngô Quang Anh
Indiv
6.7%
1.0 trieu
Lê Đăng Phúc
Indiv
5.0%
1.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Matexim Hải Phòng
Inst
3.0%
0
Nguyễn Đăng Minh
Indiv
2.7%
1.6 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Khánh
Indiv
2.2%
325.000
CÔNG TY TNHH CÔNG NGHIỆP THÁI BÌNH DƯƠNG
Inst
2.0%
0
Trần Ngọc Dương
Indiv
1.5%
550.000
Đinh Ngọc Thắng
Indiv
0.9%
560.000
Nguyễn Hữu Phong
Indiv
0.5%
275.050
Nguyễn Văn Dũng
Indiv
0.3%
170.010
Lê Minh Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
143.620
Đặng Thị Thu Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
133.433
Nguyễn Thị Hà
Indiv
0.2%
22.090
Lê Đình Tư
Indiv
0.1%
23.197
Lê Phương Nhâm
Indiv
0.1%
19.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Văn Thọ19.1%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Nghĩa17.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Ngọc Dương1.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Ngọc Thắng0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hữu Phong0.5%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Dũng0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đức Độ
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Minh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Kikugawa Tetsuya
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Fujiwara Norimasa
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thọ Vân
Kế toán trưởng
Đỗ Tiến Thành
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Lương
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Đức Thành
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Yukio Miyota
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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