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Construction sector

DC1

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Phát triển Xây dựng số 1
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
8.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.141
Current
8.000
Gap
-23.2%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
12.283
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
12.283

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DC1

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

41
Weak
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.29
Moderate
DSRI
1.009
GMI
0.539
AQI
0.793
SGI
0.980
DEPI
4.272
SGAI
1.222
TATA
0.043
LVGI
1.027

The Beneish M-Score of -2.2863 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the Earnings Quality Score of 40.7/100, particularly the 0.0/100 in cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 40.7/100, with 0.0/100 in cash conversion and revenue metrics indicating potential issues with earnings sustainability.
  • High DEPI of 4.2724 suggests aggressive revenue recognition practices, which may not align with cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.2863 is below the manipulation threshold, suggesting a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top shareholder holding 51.7%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue recognition practices. Consider a cautious approach to investment until further clarity on earnings sustainability is achieved.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.98
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.10
Positive
Composite
38
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+4.5%
Volatility
171.7%
Max Drawdown
-55.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
5.03P/E
P/B0.59
P/S0.22
ROE14.7%
ROA3.6%
EPS1684.60
BVPS12282.65
Gross Margin18.8%
Net Margin5.2%
D/E3.20
Current Ratio1.00
Rev Growth-2.0%
Profit Growth680.5%
EV/EBITDA6.95
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.5M
Charter Capital
45.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DC1 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Phát triển Xây dựng
Inst
51.7%
2.3 trieu
Trần Duy Anh
Indiv
18.3%
822.373
Hoàng Thị Hà
Indiv
15.5%
488.313
Công ty TNHH Nguyễn Thảo
Inst
12.0%
0
america limited liability company
Inst
4.3%
134.490
Nguyễn Văn Thọ
Indiv
1.7%
68.250
Hoàng Thọ Bắc
Indiv
0.3%
15.015
Board & Management
Trần Duy Anh18.3%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Thị Hà15.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Văn Thọ1.7%
Phó Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Thọ Bắc0.3%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Bảo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Quốc Ân
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hiền
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Bích Thu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Trần Văn Hậu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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