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Consumer sector

ANV

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Nam Việt
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
23.450
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
37.606
Current
23.450
Gap
+60.4%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
57.52%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.56%
x
D/(D+E)
42.48%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF671.30B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
671.30B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
37.606
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — ANV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

65
Fair
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
80
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.84
Moderate
DSRI
1.611
GMI
0.489
AQI
0.864
SGI
1.415
DEPI
0.901
SGAI
0.869
TATA
0.000
LVGI
0.929

The Beneish M-Score of -1.8364 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score is relatively high at 64.9, the low scores in revenue and margin metrics raise concerns about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8364 suggests potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a DSRI of 1.6110 indicating rising receivables relative to sales.
  • Earnings quality metrics show a score of 0.0 for both eq_margin and eq_revenue, indicating significant issues with revenue recognition and profit margins.
Positive Signals
  • High accrual score of 99.9/100 and cash conversion score of 79.9/100 suggest strong operational efficiency in managing receivables and cash flow.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Doãn Tới holding 55.0%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest in decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor earnings reports and cash flow statements for signs of manipulation. Consider a cautious approach or wait for further transparency in financial disclosures before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
4.10
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.98
Positive
Composite
75
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+62.8%
Volatility
38.8%
Max Drawdown
-29.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.26P/E
P/B1.77
P/S0.90
ROE31.6%
ROA18.7%
EPS3748.03
BVPS13225.72
Gross Margin23.3%
Net Margin14.4%
D/E0.65
Current Ratio1.56
Rev Growth41.6%
Profit Growth1989.6%
EV/EBITDA6.01
Div Yield5.5%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
266.7M
Charter Capital
2666.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Nuôi trồng nông & hải sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for ANV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Doãn Tới
Indiv
55.0%
146.6 trieu
Doãn Chí Thanh
Indiv
11.1%
29.5 trieu
Ngân hàng Deutsche Aktiengesellschaft
Inst
4.9%
3.2 trieu
Doãn Chí Thiên
Indiv
0.4%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Duy Nhứt
Indiv
0.4%
519.000
Nguyễn Văn Vỹ
Indiv
0.3%
800.000
nguyen-thanh-liem
Indiv
0.3%
711.200
Nguyễn Văn Dương
Indiv
0.3%
350.000
Trần Minh Cảnh
Indiv
0.1%
400.000
Board & Management
Doãn Tới55.0%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Doãn Chí Thiên0.4%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Văn Vỹ0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Minh Cảnh0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Thị Kim Thoa
Kế toán trưởng
Dương Thị Kim Hương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Minh Phong
Trưởng ban kiểm toán/Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Lê Tiến Dũng
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thị Minh Ý
Trưởng ban kiểm toán/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Đỗ Lập Nghiệp
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Doãn Hải Phượng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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