BLF
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BLF
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2024
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2019
The Beneish M-Score of -3.015 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics show significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue and margin quality, which could signal underlying operational issues.
- Earnings quality metrics show 0.0/100 for eq_margin and eq_revenue, indicating potential issues with profitability and revenue recognition.
- SGI of 1.2338 suggests aggressive growth that may not be sustainable, raising concerns about the company's ability to maintain its growth trajectory.
- The DSRI of 0.6417 indicates that inventory levels are well managed compared to sales, which is a positive sign for operational efficiency.
- High cash conversion metrics (eq_cash_conv of 100.0/100) suggest strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
The top shareholder, an institutional fund, holds 60.0% of the shares, which may lead to concentrated decision-making and potential misalignment with minority shareholders. However, the presence of individual shareholders may provide some level of oversight.
Investors should closely monitor the company's operational performance and revenue recognition practices, given the low earnings quality scores. Consider a cautious approach to investment until improvements in margin and revenue quality are observed.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
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