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Real Estate sector

D2D

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Đô thị Công nghiệp số 2
Bất động sảnCT
38.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
High
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
105.694
Current
38.000
Gap
+178.1%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
51.37%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
48.63%
=
WACC
10.10%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
27.380
60%DCF Value
157.903
Blended Intrinsic
105.694
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — D2D

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

66
Fair
Accrual Quality
25
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
32
Revenue Quality
64

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.83
Low Risk
DSRI
0.540
GMI
0.960
AQI
1.053
SGI
2.255
DEPI
0.702
SGAI
0.694
TATA
-0.230
LVGI
0.958

D2D exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.828, indicating a lower likelihood of manipulation. However, the high SGI of 2.2550 suggests aggressive growth strategies that may pose sustainability risks.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.828, significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78.
  • SGI of 2.2550 indicates aggressive revenue growth, which may not be sustainable.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 65.8/100, with low eq_margin of 32.4/100, suggesting potential issues with profitability.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion metrics are strong with eq_cash_conv at 100.0/100, indicating effective cash flow management.
  • Low DSRI of 0.5398 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the largest shareholder holding 57.9%. This may lead to governance risks and limited accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor D2D's growth strategies and earnings quality metrics while considering a diversified investment approach to mitigate risks associated with ownership concentration.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.57
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.60
Positive
Composite
76
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+23.1%
Volatility
19.4%
Max Drawdown
-14.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.80P/E
P/B1.60
P/S1.47
ROE32.7%
ROA16.4%
EPS7916.14
BVPS23764.69
Gross Margin46.6%
Net Margin30.7%
D/E0.95
Current Ratio2.93
Rev Growth125.5%
Profit Growth172.0%
EV/EBITDA3.36
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
30.3M
Charter Capital
303.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for D2D — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Khu Công nghiệp
Inst
57.9%
17.5 trieu
Viet Nam Property Holding
Inst
4.9%
519.210
america limited liability company
Inst
3.9%
411.850
Nguyễn Xuân Đình
Indiv
1.0%
108.055
Thái Vũ Đoài
Indiv
0.9%
281.642
Ngô Đức Thành
Indiv
0.9%
92.755
Phạm Uyên Nguyên
Indiv
0.4%
42.274
Phan Quốc Anh
Indiv
0.4%
42.273
Đỗ Thị Thu Hương
Indiv
0.3%
94.258
Hồ Thị Thúy Loan
Indiv
0.2%
64.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thế Phòng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Kim Thu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Trọng Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Lê Hoàng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lai Thị Đài Trang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hiếu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trương Lưu
Kế toán trưởng
Hồ Thị Minh Tâm
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Đình Thái
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hà Quan Dũng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hồ Đức Thành
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Lương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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