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Cyclicals sector

DAS

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Máy - Thiết bị Dầu khí Đà Nẵng
Ô tô và phụ tùngCT
11.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.517
Current
11.100
Gap
-23.3%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTCyclical
Defaulted to cyclical (no specific sector mapping found)
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Ebitda Bvps Floor
BVPS
12.167
x
Discount
70%
=
Floor Value
12.167

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DAS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

36
Weak
Accrual Quality
78
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.00
Moderate
DSRI
2.164
GMI
0.726
AQI
0.747
SGI
1.043
DEPI
0.763
SGAI
1.450
TATA
-0.054
LVGI
1.073

DAS exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly a Beneish M-Score of -2.0007, indicating potential earnings manipulation. The earnings quality score of 35.5/100, driven by poor receivables and revenue metrics, raises further alarms about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.0007, indicating potential manipulation as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 35.5/100, with eq_receivables and eq_revenue both at 0.0/100, suggesting significant issues in revenue recognition and cash conversion.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 2.1635 indicates a potential increase in sales relative to receivables, but this is overshadowed by the zero scores in receivables and revenue metrics.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Công ty Cổ phần Máy - Thiết bị Dầu khí, holds a significant 49.8% stake, which could lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced accountability in financial reporting.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider conducting further due diligence on DAS, particularly focusing on cash flow and revenue recognition practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
4.79
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.53
Positive
Composite
50
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+162.6%
Volatility
149.4%
Max Drawdown
-58.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-26.84P/E
P/B0.91
P/S0.06
ROE-3.2%
ROA-1.1%
EPS-413.52
BVPS12166.71
Gross Margin10.7%
Net Margin-0.2%
D/E2.07
Current Ratio1.06
Rev Growth4.3%
Profit Growth-143.2%
EV/EBITDA-25.90
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.2M
Charter Capital
42.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Ô tô và phụ tùng
Industry (ICB L3)
Ô tô và phụ tùng
Sub-industry
Sản xuất ô tô
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DAS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Máy - Thiết bị Dầu khí
Inst
49.8%
2.1 trieu
nguyen-long
Indiv
1.6%
65.630
Nguyễn Văn Hùng
Indiv
1.2%
49.090
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thơi
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đàm Ngọc Bảo
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Trung Nghĩa
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Hữu Thành
Phó Giám đốc
Lý Thị Lệ Ninh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Quyên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Thị Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Tuấn Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Đình Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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