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Real Estate sector

DTA

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đệ Tam
Bất động sảnCT
3.570
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.072
Current
3.570
Gap
+98.1%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
32.21%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.07%
x
D/(D+E)
67.79%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
14.144
60%DCF Value
-6.664
Blended Intrinsic
7.072
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DTA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

27
Poor
Margin Stability
54
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.20
Moderate
DSRI
0.635
GMI
1.280
AQI
0.898
SGI
1.420
DEPI
0.675
SGAI
0.710
TATA
0.023
LVGI
0.950

DTA exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.1995, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. While the company shows strong receivables management, the overall earnings quality score of 42.7 suggests significant weaknesses in cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1995 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 42.7/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100, raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Strong receivables management with an eq_receivables score of 100.0/100, indicating effective collection processes.
  • Low DSRI of 0.6346 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented, with no single shareholder holding a majority stake, which may reduce the risk of controlling shareholder influence but could also lead to governance challenges.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor DTA's financial disclosures and cash flow statements. A deeper analysis of revenue recognition practices is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.07
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.24
Positive
Composite
52
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+13.4%
Volatility
39.5%
Max Drawdown
-34.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
ROE0.0%
ROA0.0%
Gross Margin17.2%
Net Margin1.8%
D/E0.00
Current Ratio0.00
Rev Growth-19.9%
Profit Growth40.6%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
18.1M
Charter Capital
195.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DTA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Phạm Thị Kim Xuân
Indiv
10.1%
1.8 trieu
Đặng Minh Truyền
Indiv
6.5%
970.000
Viên Ngọc Bảo
Indiv
5.4%
960.000
Huỳnh Cao Trí
Indiv
5.3%
790.000
nguyen-anh-tuan
Indiv
5.2%
943.670
Bùi Đĩnh Mẫn
Indiv
4.9%
876.500
nguyen-chi-thanh
Indiv
4.8%
875.200
Phạm Thị Bình
Indiv
4.8%
860.000
Trần Cao Thành
Indiv
4.7%
700.000
Nghiêm Phú Hoàng
Indiv
4.6%
690.000
Nguyễn Hồng Mai
Indiv
4.0%
724.500
Kiều Thị Thái Hà
Indiv
3.4%
606.956
Trần Đức Lợi
Indiv
3.0%
544.386
Trần Quang Mỹ
Indiv
1.6%
280.000
Nguyễn Thị Hiếu Thiện
Indiv
0.5%
88.326
Vũ Thị Thanh Vân
Indiv
0.4%
63.944
Chung Minh Quang
Indiv
0.1%
10.000
Board & Management
Phạm Thị Kim Xuân10.1%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hồng Mai4.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Đức Lợi3.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Thị Thanh Vân0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Hảo
Kế toán trưởng
Hoàng Thị Thu Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Quỳnh Trang
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Trần Kiến Phát
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Trần Minh Ngọc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hữu Nghĩa
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Quang Chính
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
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