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Consumer sector

BAF

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Nông nghiệp BAF Việt Nam
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
34.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.629
Current
34.700
Gap
-80.9%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
13.259
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
13.259

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BAF

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

39
Weak
Accrual Quality
74
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.89
Moderate
DSRI
1.799
GMI
0.780
AQI
1.033
SGI
0.895
DEPI
0.975
SGAI
2.415
TATA
0.065
LVGI
1.030

BAF's Beneish M-Score of -1.8939 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. The low Earnings Quality Score of 38.5, particularly the 0.0/100 in cash conversion and margin metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8939 suggests potential earnings manipulation, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 38.5/100 indicates poor earnings quality, with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100 and margin score of 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of accounts receivable, suggesting effective collection practices.
Ownership Risk

The largest shareholder, Siba Holdings, holds a significant 31.5% stake, which may lead to concentrated control and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in a market with prevalent state-owned enterprises (SOEs).

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor BAF's financial disclosures and operational performance, particularly focusing on cash flow metrics and earnings sustainability before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.58
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.78
Positive
Composite
38
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+30.8%
Volatility
21.7%
Max Drawdown
-19.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
107.37P/E
P/B2.62
P/S2.09
ROE2.8%
ROA1.1%
EPS323.18
BVPS13258.91
Gross Margin16.3%
Net Margin1.9%
D/E1.66
Current Ratio1.00
Rev Growth-10.5%
Profit Growth-69.0%
EV/EBITDA23.41
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
304.0M
Charter Capital
3040.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Nuôi trồng nông & hải sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BAF — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Siba Holdings
Inst
31.5%
95.7 trieu
Bùi Hương Giang
Indiv
2.6%
8.0 trieu
nguyen-anh-tuan
Indiv
2.0%
1.6 trieu
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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