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Real Estate sector

PV2

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư PV2
Bất động sảnCT
2.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.400
Current
2.300
Gap
+91.3%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
82.21%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
17.79%
=
WACC
12.32%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
7.781
60%DCF Value
2.147
Blended Intrinsic
4.400
Value Decomposition
34%
66%
Explicit period (34%)Terminal value (66%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PV2

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

35
Weak
Accrual Quality
71
Cash Conversion
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

66.29
High Risk
DSRI
84.646
GMI
0.429
AQI
0.913
SGI
0.038
DEPI
0.920
SGAI
42.891
TATA
0.089
LVGI
1.595

The Beneish M-Score of 66.2869 significantly exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a high likelihood of earnings manipulation. Coupled with a low Earnings Quality Score of 21.1/100 and concerning metrics such as a cash conversion rate of 0.0/100, this stock presents substantial risks for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 66.2869 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 21.1/100 reflects poor earnings quality.
  • Cash conversion rate of 0.0/100 suggests severe issues in converting earnings to cash.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 84.6456 indicates a potential decrease in inventory relative to sales, which could signal operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top five shareholders holding over 80% of the shares, raising concerns about potential conflicts of interest and lack of minority shareholder protections.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider avoiding this stock until clearer signs of financial stability and transparency emerge. Conducting further due diligence on management practices and financial disclosures is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.75
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.85
Negative
Composite
37
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-24.2%
Volatility
45.5%
Max Drawdown
-35.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
48.83P/E
P/B0.40
P/S0.00
ROE0.8%
ROA0.7%
EPS51.20
BVPS6224.63
D/E0.22
Current Ratio2.18
Rev Growth-100.0%
Profit Growth113.5%
EV/EBITDA-3.57
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
37.4M
Charter Capital
373.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PV2 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-phuc-anh
Indiv
24.8%
9.1 trieu
Chu Minh Châu
Indiv
20.3%
7.5 trieu
nguyen-anh-tuan
Indiv
5.7%
2.1 trieu
Khoa Anh Thắng
Indiv
5.0%
1.8 trieu
Tôn Thiện Việt
Indiv
4.9%
1.8 trieu
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Đại chúng Việt Nam
Inst
3.6%
1.3 trieu
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Quốc tế Việt Nam
Inst
3.2%
1.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư PVR Hà Nội
Inst
2.9%
1.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần SJ Group
Inst
1.6%
600.000
Lê Anh Tuấn
Indiv
1.1%
394.300
Board & Management
Nguyễn Anh Tuấn5.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Tôn Thiện Việt4.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Xuân Hân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Kim Nhung
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát/Trưởng phòng Kinh doanh/Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thị Mỹ Hậu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lâm Nhật Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Trịnh Quốc Kiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Đặng Huy Cảnh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lê Thị Hương
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
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