VTH
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VTH
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
VTH exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.8155, indicating a potential risk of earnings manipulation as it falls below the threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 58.7 suggests moderate reliability, the cash conversion metric at 0.0 raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.8155 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
- Earnings quality cash conversion score of 0.0 suggests significant issues with cash flow relative to reported earnings.
- Receivables quality score of 100.0 indicates strong management of receivables, suggesting effective credit policies.
- SGI of 1.4869 indicates strong sales growth, which could be a positive indicator of market demand.
The concentrated ownership structure, with the top four shareholders holding over 89% of shares, poses risks related to governance and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.
Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and consider conducting further due diligence on the company's governance practices before making investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for VTH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate