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Construction sector

PHP

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Cảng Hải Phòng
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
33.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
33.070
Current
33.600
Gap
-1.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
74.89%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.43%
x
D/(D+E)
25.11%
=
WACC
10.75%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend7.43%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
23.058
50%DCF Value
43.083
Blended Intrinsic
33.070
Value Decomposition
37%
63%
Explicit period (37%)Terminal value (63%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PHP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

82
Good
Accrual Quality
89
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.98
Low Risk
DSRI
0.641
GMI
0.828
AQI
1.277
SGI
1.052
DEPI
0.759
SGAI
1.031
TATA
-0.027
LVGI
1.245

The Beneish M-Score of -2.9826 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 82.3 suggests some concerns, particularly with revenue recognition, which could pose risks in the context of Vietnam's accounting practices.

Red Flags
  • The revenue quality score is 0.0/100, indicating potential issues with revenue recognition and suggesting that reported revenues may not be reliable.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality metrics are strong overall, with cash conversion and receivables both at 100.0/100, indicating good cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

With 92.6% of shares held by Tổng Công ty Hàng hải Việt Nam, there is a significant concentration of ownership, which may limit minority shareholders' influence and raise governance concerns.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of high ownership concentration when evaluating investment in PHP.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.02
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.48
Negative
Composite
53
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-16.0%
Volatility
37.7%
Max Drawdown
-43.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
14.43P/E
P/B1.97
P/S4.35
ROE14.2%
ROA8.9%
EPS2519.65
BVPS18430.29
Gross Margin46.1%
Net Margin30.2%
D/E0.45
Current Ratio2.45
Rev Growth5.2%
Profit Growth2.0%
EV/EBITDA10.72
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
327.0M
Charter Capital
3269.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PHP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Hàng hải Việt Nam
Inst
92.6%
302.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Bảo Hiểm Petrolimex
Inst
0.2%
740.000
Công đoàn công ty cổ phần Cảng Hải Phòng
Inst
0.2%
700.000
Board & Management
Cao Trung Ngoan
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Văn Thanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Tuấn Linh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hùng Cường
Phó phòng Kinh doanh
Phạm Hồng Minh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Tường Anh
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hằng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hà Vũ Hào
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Anh Tuấn
Phó Giám đốc Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thị Hà Phương
Thư ký Hội đồng Quản Trị
Trần Văn Hoàn
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Phạm Tuấn Hải
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đinh Văn Thạch
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Văn Dũng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Thị Thu Hà
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Vũ Hà
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Chu Minh Hoàng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Thanh Hải
Kế toán trưởng
Ngô Trung Hiếu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đồng Xuân Khanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Minh Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Đình Quang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Chu Tất Đạt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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