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Utilities sector

PJS

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Phú Hòa Tân
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
30.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
17.494
Current
30.800
Gap
-43.2%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend6.15%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS800
Payout ratio40.9%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
800
Base Growth
6.15%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
17.494
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PJS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

58
Fair
Accrual Quality
58
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
54
Margin Stability
32
Revenue Quality
45

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.33
Moderate
DSRI
1.546
GMI
0.985
AQI
1.446
SGI
1.021
DEPI
1.071
SGAI
1.001
TATA
-0.109
LVGI
1.127

PJS exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.3311, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 57.7 suggests moderate quality, but specific components, such as the low eq_margin of 31.5, raise additional concerns.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.3311 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality metrics show a low eq_margin of 31.5/100, suggesting potential issues with profitability.
  • Receivables quality is low at 54.3/100, indicating possible revenue recognition issues.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion score is perfect at 100.0/100, indicating strong cash flow relative to earnings.
  • The SGI of 1.0214 suggests stable sales growth, which is a positive sign in the current market context.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tổng Công ty Cấp nước Sài Gòn holding 70.4%, which may lead to governance risks and a lack of accountability. This concentration could also impact minority shareholders' interests.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding revenue recognition and profitability metrics. Monitoring future earnings reports for improvements in margin and receivables quality is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.42
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.29
Positive
Composite
54
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+43.0%
Volatility
145.5%
Max Drawdown
-50.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
23.18P/E
P/B1.39
P/S0.48
ROE15.5%
ROA9.4%
EPS2377.23
BVPS15816.38
Gross Margin43.5%
Net Margin5.1%
D/E0.72
Current Ratio1.40
Rev Growth2.1%
Profit Growth9.2%
EV/EBITDA3.01
Div Yield3.9%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.0M
Charter Capital
90.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PJS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cấp nước Sài Gòn
Inst
70.4%
6.3 trieu
Ngân hàng TNHH MTV Số Vikki
Inst
10.0%
900.000
america limited liability company
Inst
7.0%
631.998
Công ty TNHH Đầu tư Thương mại Du lịch Hiệp Phúc
Inst
1.7%
150.000
Nguyễn Năng Thân
Indiv
0.1%
10.000
Board & Management
Bùi Đức Sinh
Phó Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Nguyễn Thanh Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Thanh Tâm
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Vương Vũ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Văn Hoà
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Đắng
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Minh Đạt
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Trọng Thành
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Thị Mỹ Quý
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Thị Phương Linh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Thanh Nga
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Trần Công Lễ
Phó Giám đốc Điều hành/Phó Giám đốc
Dương Hồng Phương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Trung Thành
Phó Giám đốc Kinh doanh
Computed 12/04/2026
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