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Consumer sector

HDM

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Dệt May Huế
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
38.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
121.675
Current
38.000
Gap
+220.2%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
36.36%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.35%
x
D/(D+E)
63.64%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.77%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF159.77B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
159.77B
Growth Rate
4.77%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
121.675
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HDM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

73
Good
Accrual Quality
58
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
91
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.90
Moderate
DSRI
0.883
GMI
0.876
AQI
3.854
SGI
1.163
DEPI
0.876
SGAI
1.187
TATA
-0.108
LVGI
0.978

The Beneish M-Score of -1.8976 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 73.2 suggests a reasonable level of financial health, the low revenue quality score raises concerns about the sustainability of reported revenues.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8976 indicates potential earnings manipulation.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 suggests significant issues with revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow management.
  • Earnings quality score of 73.2/100 reflects overall decent financial health despite some concerns.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam holding 60.9%, which may limit minority shareholder influence and raise governance concerns.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider a deeper analysis of cash flow sustainability before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.05
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.07
Positive
Composite
74
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+7.4%
Volatility
31.6%
Max Drawdown
-20.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.03P/E
P/B1.46
P/S0.33
ROE32.3%
ROA12.0%
EPS7498.20
BVPS25863.55
Gross Margin15.1%
Net Margin6.6%
D/E1.65
Current Ratio1.42
Rev Growth16.3%
Profit Growth37.7%
EV/EBITDA4.85
Div Yield4.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
20.1M
Charter Capital
201.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HDM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam
Inst
60.9%
12.2 trieu
Công ty TNHH Tường Long
Inst
8.5%
1.7 trieu
Phạm Gia Định
Indiv
6.2%
309.507
Đinh Quang Chiến
Indiv
5.1%
1.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Quốc Tế Abc Group
Inst
4.8%
508.100
nguyen-ba-quang
Indiv
3.3%
349.588
Trần Hữu Phong
Indiv
2.1%
103.166
Công ty TNHH Thương mại Bảo Long
Inst
1.4%
70.000
Lê Công An
Indiv
1.2%
127.489
Nguyễn Khánh Chi
Indiv
0.7%
13.000
Công ty Cổ phần Dệt may - Đầu tư - Thương mại Thành Công
Inst
0.6%
30.000
Nguyễn Văn Phong
Indiv
0.4%
83.373
Hồ Ngọc Lan
Indiv
0.4%
77.713
Nguyễn Hồng Liên
Indiv
0.3%
66.687
Nguyễn Tiến Hậu
Indiv
0.3%
56.782
Nguyễn Đức Trị
Indiv
0.2%
47.850
Lê Thị Bích Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
22.125
Đào Văn Tư
Indiv
0.2%
43.090
Nguyễn Thanh Tý
Indiv
0.2%
18.493
Trần Thị Thuấn
Indiv
0.1%
27.253
Hồ Nam Phong
Indiv
0.1%
23.453
Nguyễn Bá Khánh Tùng
Indiv
0.1%
21.896
Board & Management
Lê Công An1.2%
Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Khánh Chi0.7%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Văn Phong0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Hồ Ngọc Lan0.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hồng Liên0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Tiến Hậu0.3%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Đức Trị0.2%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Bích Thủy0.2%
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Hồ Nam Phong0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Nữ Quỳnh Anh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Vân Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Văn Diện
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
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