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Consumer sector

NDT

Consumer
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Dệt may Nam Định
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
5.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
73.125
Current
5.100
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
16.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.40%
x
D/(D+E)
83.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF103.29B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
103.29B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
73.125
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NDT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

38
Weak
Accrual Quality
53
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.29
Low Risk
DSRI
1.383
GMI
0.214
AQI
1.071
SGI
0.788
DEPI
0.929
SGAI
0.892
TATA
-0.127
LVGI
1.001

NDT exhibits several concerning indicators of potential financial manipulation, as reflected by a Beneish M-Score of -3.2888, significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality metrics reveal severe weaknesses, particularly in receivables and revenue recognition, which warrant caution for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.2888 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 38.2/100, with 0.0/100 in eq_receivables, eq_margin, and eq_revenue, suggests severe issues in revenue recognition and cash flow management.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion rate of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings, which is a positive sign amidst other weaknesses.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam (53.7%) may lead to potential conflicts of interest, particularly in governance and financial reporting, raising concerns about minority shareholder protections.

Recommendation

Investors should proceed with caution, closely monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements. Consider waiting for clearer signs of improved financial transparency and governance before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
0.67
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.07
Negative
Composite
62
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+9.8%
Volatility
73.3%
Max Drawdown
-36.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
22.04P/E
P/B1.48
P/S0.07
ROE6.8%
ROA0.4%
EPS229.17
BVPS3403.15
Gross Margin6.7%
Net Margin0.3%
D/E14.78
Current Ratio0.66
Rev Growth-21.2%
Profit Growth103.7%
EV/EBITDA7.88
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
15.6M
Charter Capital
156.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NDT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam
Inst
53.7%
8.4 trieu
Trung Thị Nga
Indiv
5.3%
826.850
Đỗ Thị Thơ
Indiv
3.8%
515.000
Phạm Ngọc Kỳ
Indiv
1.7%
270.300
Bùi Thị Hải
Indiv
1.3%
210.600
Vũ Ngọc Tú
Indiv
1.3%
199.000
Nguyễn Mạnh Hùng
Indiv
1.2%
188.000
Vũ Ngọc Tuấn
Indiv
0.4%
70.000
Nguyễn Văn Miêng
Indiv
0.3%
45.860
Trần Ngọc Khanh
Indiv
0.2%
27.600
Nguyễn Thị Khánh
Indiv
0.2%
29.555
Ngô Thị Ngoan
Indiv
0.1%
17.100
Board & Management
Nguyễn Mạnh Hùng1.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Ngọc Tuấn0.4%
Kế toán trưởng/Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Văn Miêng0.3%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Khánh0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Xuân Vũ
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Văn Dũng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Xuân Trình
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Thanh Huyền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Văn Tân
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Thu Hằng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Ngọc Bình
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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