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Construction sector

HUB

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xây lắp Thừa Thiên Huế
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
14.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
12.861
Current
14.200
Gap
-9.4%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
63.95%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.85%
x
D/(D+E)
36.05%
=
WACC
10.27%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.47%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
15.151
50%DCF Value
10.570
Blended Intrinsic
12.861
Value Decomposition
36%
64%
Explicit period (36%)Terminal value (64%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HUB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
87
Revenue Quality
30

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.79
Moderate
DSRI
1.661
GMI
0.992
AQI
1.005
SGI
0.988
DEPI
0.751
SGAI
1.424
TATA
0.037
LVGI
0.923

HUB's Beneish M-Score of -1.79 is marginally below the manipulation threshold, indicating potential earnings manipulation. The earnings quality score of 69.0 suggests moderate reliability, but the low cash conversion rate of 40.4 raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.79 is close to the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion at 40.4/100 is significantly low, suggesting that reported earnings may not be translating into actual cash flow.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates excellent management of receivables, suggesting strong credit control.
  • The SGI of 0.9876 indicates stable sales growth, which is a positive sign in the context of the Vietnamese market.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Nhà Bà Rịa Vũng Tàu, holds a significant 40.0% stake, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor HUB's cash flow performance and consider engaging with management regarding earnings quality. A cautious approach is advised until further clarity on financial practices is obtained.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.30
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.42
Negative
Composite
52
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-0.4%
Volatility
13.0%
Max Drawdown
-21.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.25P/E
P/B0.70
P/S1.46
ROE11.8%
ROA7.3%
EPS2361.84
BVPS21125.61
Gross Margin25.9%
Net Margin23.4%
D/E0.50
Current Ratio3.33
Rev Growth-1.0%
Profit Growth5.2%
EV/EBITDA7.98
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
30.2M
Charter Capital
302.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HUB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Nhà Bà Rịa Vũng Tàu
Inst
40.0%
12.1 trieu
Công Đoàn Công ty Cổ Phần Xây Lắp Thừa Thiên Huế
Inst
4.8%
1.4 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Phương Hoa
Indiv
3.4%
892.766
afc vietnam fund
Inst
2.8%
534.980
Lê Quý Định
Indiv
2.5%
763.838
nguyen-chi-thanh
Indiv
1.7%
264.506
Đoàn Hữu Thuận
Indiv
1.4%
412.183
Lê Văn Hậu
Indiv
1.1%
199.347
Lê Văn Tài
Indiv
0.8%
227.537
Nguyễn Văn Quý
Indiv
0.7%
220.562
Lê Viết Liên
Indiv
0.5%
157.943
Đoàn Hữu Hà Vinh
Indiv
0.3%
100.000
Phan Văn Giáo
Indiv
0.3%
92.096
nguyen-thi-hong-phuc
Indiv
0.3%
85.208
Lê Thị Khánh Vân
Indiv
0.2%
69.608
Trần Hữu Vinh
Indiv
0.2%
38.950
Nguyễn Lê Minh Thư
Indiv
0.2%
47.942
Tô Thị Thanh Tịnh
Indiv
0.2%
35.241
Nguyễn Bá Cường
Indiv
0.2%
44.500
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Hân
Indiv
0.1%
44.460
Board & Management
Lê Quý Định2.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Hữu Thuận1.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Tài0.8%
Giám đốc Tài chính
Nguyễn Văn Quý0.7%
Giám đốc khối/Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Phan Văn Giáo0.3%
Giám đốc khối
Lê Thị Khánh Vân0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Hữu Vinh0.2%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Hân0.1%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Phạm Trường Lâm
Giám đốc khối
Nguyễn Thị Kim Phụng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thái Bình
Giám đốc khối
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Châu Trân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Thăng
Giám đốc
Phan Thành Long
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Hữu Quý
Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Thị Ngọc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Sĩ Chương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Tấn Phước
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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