VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Construction sector

TRS

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vận tải và Dịch vụ Hàng Hải
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
32.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.644
Current
32.000
Gap
-41.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
58.36%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.35%
x
D/(D+E)
41.64%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.69%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
23.101
50%DCF Value
14.188
Blended Intrinsic
18.644
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TRS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

73
Good
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
43
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
42

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.61
Elevated
DSRI
1.096
GMI
0.973
AQI
2.409
SGI
1.064
DEPI
0.987
SGAI
0.980
TATA
0.037
LVGI
1.022

TRS exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.6137, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics show significant variability, particularly in cash conversion and revenue recognition, which raises concerns.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 73.4/100 is decent but cash conversion is low at 43.0/100, indicating potential issues in converting earnings to cash.
  • The SGI of 1.0643 suggests a growth rate higher than the industry average, which could be unsustainable.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 1.0956 is close to 1, indicating that inventory levels are in line with sales, which is a positive sign.
  • The receivables quality score is perfect at 100.0/100, indicating strong management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated, with the top five shareholders holding 80.3% of the company. This concentration may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor cash flow closely and assess the sustainability of growth rates. Consider a cautious approach to investment until clearer trends in cash conversion and revenue recognition emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.70
Safe Zone
Sharpe
1.45
Excellent
Composite
66
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+118.8%
Volatility
74.6%
Max Drawdown
-30.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
5.70P/E
P/B0.77
P/S0.19
ROE14.4%
ROA8.4%
EPS5467.69
BVPS40375.98
Gross Margin13.5%
Net Margin3.3%
D/E0.71
Current Ratio1.40
Rev Growth6.0%
Profit Growth29.1%
EV/EBITDA4.13
Div Yield4.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
7.5M
Charter Capital
75.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Vận tải Thủy
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TRS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Văn Quý
Indiv
20.0%
1.5 trieu
Trần Việt Huy
Indiv
17.0%
1.3 trieu
Đỗ Văn Mười
Indiv
17.0%
1.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Xuất Nhập Khẩu Và Hợp Tác Đầu Tư Giao Thông Vận Tải
Inst
16.1%
1.2 trieu
nguyen-nhu-song
Indiv
6.2%
136.100
Nguyễn Thành Đồng
Indiv
4.8%
361.159
Nguyễn Tuấn Phong
Indiv
3.9%
294.289
Bùi Khắc Chung
Indiv
2.2%
100.561
Hồ Trọng Bình
Indiv
1.6%
116.334
Trần Thị Tuyết Linh
Indiv
0.5%
39.471
Nguyễn Văn Hà
Indiv
0.2%
5.000
Phạm Ngọc Khuê
Indiv
0.2%
8.872
Đào Ngọc Trang
Indiv
0.2%
12.216
Phạm Xuân Khỏa
Indiv
0.1%
9.722
Board & Management
Nguyễn Văn Quý20.0%
Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Văn Mười17.0%
Giám đốc Tài chính/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Việt Huy17.0%
Giám đốc điều hành/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Khắc Chung2.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Trọng Bình1.6%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Hà0.2%
Giám đốc
Phạm Ngọc Khuê0.2%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →