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Construction sector

SNZ

Construction
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Khu Công nghiệp
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
31.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
24.034
Current
31.400
Gap
-23.5%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
51.70%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.67%
x
D/(D+E)
48.30%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.28%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
33.213
50%DCF Value
14.856
Blended Intrinsic
24.034
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SNZ

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

88
Good
Accrual Quality
93
Cash Conversion
99
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
98
Revenue Quality
37

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.63
Low Risk
DSRI
0.787
GMI
0.903
AQI
1.074
SGI
1.158
DEPI
0.932
SGAI
0.958
TATA
-0.018
LVGI
0.964

SNZ shows a Beneish M-Score of -2.6304, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue recognition, which may raise concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • The Beneish M-Score of -2.6304 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting potential earnings manipulation risk.
  • The earnings quality score of 36.7/100 for revenue indicates significant concerns regarding the reliability of revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 88.1/100 overall indicates strong performance in areas such as cash conversion (99.0/100) and receivables (100.0/100), suggesting good operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily dominated by state entities, with Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Đồng Nai holding 99.5% of shares, which may limit minority shareholder influence and raise concerns about governance practices.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of state ownership on corporate governance. A cautious approach is recommended until further clarity on revenue sustainability is obtained.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.68
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.06
Negative
Composite
63
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+10.7%
Volatility
34.1%
Max Drawdown
-38.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.98P/E
P/B1.58
P/S1.70
ROE18.4%
ROA5.9%
EPS3407.10
BVPS19343.90
Gross Margin44.9%
Net Margin18.9%
D/E0.87
Current Ratio1.96
Rev Growth15.7%
Profit Growth32.5%
EV/EBITDA4.43
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
376.5M
Charter Capital
3765.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SNZ — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Đồng Nai
State
99.5%
374.8 trieu
Ủy Ban Quản Lý Vốn Nhà Nước Tại Doanh Nghiệp
State
65.0%
244.7 trieu
Board & Management
Đỗ Thị Thu Hằng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thanh Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Lương Minh Hiền
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lai Thị Đài Trang
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đinh Ngọc Thuận
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Lệ Hằng
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thị Hạnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Trần Hòa Hiệp
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn An Quốc
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thúy Hằng
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Trần Ngọc Tòng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Quốc Chí
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Cẩm Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Lê Bích Phượng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Bích Loan
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Huyền Trang
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Computed 12/04/2026
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