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Consumer sector

DCG

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Tổng Công ty May Đáp Cầu
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
24.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
80.115
Current
24.600
Gap
+225.7%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
42.59%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.14%
x
D/(D+E)
57.41%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.54%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF31.67B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
31.67B
Growth Rate
4.54%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
80.115
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DCG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

79
Good
Accrual Quality
84
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
89
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.92
Moderate
DSRI
1.165
GMI
0.928
AQI
1.764
SGI
1.319
DEPI
1.024
SGAI
0.888
TATA
-0.040
LVGI
0.941

DCG exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.9186, indicating a potential risk of earnings manipulation as it falls below the threshold of -1.78. Despite a solid earnings quality score of 79.4, the revenue quality metric is alarmingly low at 0.0, raising concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9186 suggests potential earnings manipulation.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0 indicates significant issues with revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 79.4/100 reflects strong overall earnings quality.
  • Cash conversion rate of 100.0/100 indicates excellent cash flow generation capabilities.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a significant institutional holding of 24.0% by Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam, which may provide stability, but the presence of multiple individual shareholders could lead to fragmented decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DCG's financial disclosures for signs of revenue manipulation and consider a cautious approach until clearer trends in revenue quality emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.29
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.81
Positive
Composite
91
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+108.7%
Volatility
109.6%
Max Drawdown
-61.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
4.61P/E
P/B0.72
P/S0.11
ROE18.3%
ROA4.5%
EPS2963.84
BVPS16737.31
Gross Margin24.1%
Net Margin2.8%
D/E1.34
Current Ratio1.23
Rev Growth31.9%
Profit Growth64.0%
EV/EBITDA1.34
Div Yield12.5%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.8M
Charter Capital
68.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DCG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam
Inst
24.0%
1.6 trieu
Wang Kuan Hung
Indiv
5.3%
275.640
Lương Văn Thư
Indiv
5.0%
341.564
Đăng Anh Đào
Indiv
4.9%
331.322
Nguyễn Thị Tuyết Minh
Indiv
4.8%
329.199
Lương Minh Phương
Indiv
4.8%
329.199
Nguyễn Đăng Đông
Indiv
3.8%
256.344
Nguyễn Đăng Luận
Indiv
2.7%
183.911
Bạch Minh Quân
Indiv
2.0%
134.821
Nguyễn Ngọc Quang
Indiv
1.9%
132.213
Bạch Thị Kim Dung
Indiv
1.9%
100.849
Nguyễn Đức Thắng
Indiv
1.5%
100.819
Nguyễn Trung Kiên
Indiv
1.2%
84.461
Nguyễn Hồng Kỳ
Indiv
1.1%
58.310
Nguyễn Tiến Mạnh
Indiv
0.8%
56.784
Hà Toàn Thắng
Indiv
0.7%
34.840
Đặng Anh Dũng
Indiv
0.4%
29.406
nguyen-tien-dung
Indiv
0.2%
11.739
Board & Management
Lương Văn Thư5.0%
Tổng Giám đốc
Đăng Anh Đào4.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đăng Đông3.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Trưởng phòng Kế hoạch - Thị trường
Bạch Minh Quân2.0%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
NGUYỄN NGỌC QUANG1.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Đức Thăng1.5%
Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Tiến Mạnh0.8%
Giám đốc điều hành
Hà Toàn Thắng0.7%
Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Tiến Dũng0.2%
Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Thị Hương Lan
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hằng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Việt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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